Premiere Magazine's Oscar Predictions

[jrb_actor]

Posted: 11/26/05 at 3:19am

Not as reliable as EW, but here they are. Discuss!

BEST PICTURE
Frontrunners:
- Brokeback Mountain
- Good Night, and Good Luck
- Memoirs of a Geisha
- Munich
- Walk the Line

Dark Horses:
- Capote
- The Constant Gardener
- Crash
- A History of Violence
- King Kong
- The New World
- The Producers

BEST DIRECTOR
Frontrunners:
- David Cronenberg, A History of Violence
- Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
- James Mangold, Walk the Line
- Fernando Meirelles, The Constant Gardener
- Steven Spielberg, Munich

Dark Horses:
- Peter Jackson, King Kong
- Terrence Malick, The New World
- Rob Marshall, Memoirs of a Geisha
- Sam Mendes, Jarhead

BEST ACTOR
Frontrunners:
- Ralph Fiennes, The Constant Gardener
- Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
- Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
- Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
- David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck

Dark Horses:
- George Clooney, Syriana
- Russell Crowe, Cinderella Man
- Jeff Daniels, The Squid and the Whale
- Jake Gyllenhaal, Jarhead
- Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
- Tommy Lee Jones, The Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada
- Viggo Mortensen, A History of Violence
- Cillian Murphy, Breakfast on Pluto

BEST ACTRESS
Frontrunners:
- Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
- Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
- Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
- Charlize Theron, North Country
- Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Dark Horses:
- Joan Allen, The Upside of Anger
- Claire Danes, Shopgirl
- Gwyneth Paltrow, Proof
- Sarah Jessica Parker, The Family Stone
- Naomi Watts, King Kong
- Ziyi Zhang, Memoirs of a Geisha

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Frontrunners:
- Matthew Broderick, The Producers
- Matt Dillon, Crash
- Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
- William Hurt, A History of Violence
- Richard Jenkins, North Country

Dark Horses:
- Clifton Collins, Jr, Capote
- Kevin Costner, The Upside of Anger
- Jamie Foxx, Jarhead
- Danny Huston, The Constant Gardener
- Robert Patrick, Walk the Line

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Frontrunners:
- Diane Keaton, The Family Stone
- Catherine Keener, Capote
- Gong Li, Memoirs of a Geisha
- Uma Thurman, The Producers
- Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener

Dark Horses:
- Amy Adams, Junebug
- Maria Bello, A History of Violence
- Laura Linney, The Squid and the Whale
- Shirley MacLaine, In Her Shoes
- Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Frontrunners:
- Howl's Moving Castle
- Corpse Bride
- Wallace and Gromit

Dark Horses:
- Chicken Little
- Madagascar
- Robots

[jrb_actor]

Posted: 11/26/05 at 3:20am

Notably absent: Match Point

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 11/26/05 at 3:40am

So I guess Rent is really not in the list. EW mentioned Rosario though.

[popcultureboy]

Posted: 11/26/05 at 6:13am

I find it amazing that Match Point is being so overlooked. Maybe the trailer isn't indicative of the movie, and it really sucks or something.

[Plum]

Posted: 11/26/05 at 8:53am

Any world where The Constant Gardener is relegated to dark-horse status makes me very sad indeed.

And the animation category is totally testing my loyalties. Aardman or Miyazaki? Miyazaki or Aardman? AAAAH.

Has Match Point actually been released outside of festivals? My friend had a priceless reaction to the big "reveal" at the end f the trailer when we saw it a couple of days ago. Updated On: 11/26/05 at 08:53 AM

[Yankeefan007]

Posted: 11/26/05 at 9:20am

I'm suprised that they didn't mention Nathan Lane or Jesse L. Martin/Wilson Jermaine Heredia.

and that Broderick's supporting.

[Luscious]

Posted: 11/26/05 at 9:28am

The Producers will be nominated for Best Picture.