bwayrose7 said: "So this season's survivors so far are DEH, CFA, Bronx Tale, War Paint, and Anastasia. DEH and CFA don't look to be going anywhere for the next couple of years, I assume. I genuinely can't figure out how War Paint is still running. But Bronx Tale and Anastasia seem to be running along at perfectly respectable but not spectacular numbers. Do they have a ways to go, or do you think they'll close to make way for new shows in the spring? I initially thought Frozen might take a chunk of Anastasia's audience, but it seems like the latter is more made up of teens, twenty- and thirty-somethings who grew up on the movie, not current "little girl" family crowds, so maybe not?"
I have to assume War Paint is not expensive to run. It's a perfectly fine show. The material has its weaknesses but I don't know why it's having trouble finding an audience. Even by Broadway standards, the audience was notably older and less diverse. I don't know what they need to do to expand their reach.
I think Anastasia will be fine unless the combination of Mean Girls and Frozen takes it out. The thing with one of those shows being a success is that, for example, if Frozen is sold out for a few months, then it can't compete with Anastasia except in advance sales. But both of them together might eat into the audience that's left after everyone who initially wanted to see Anastasia has already been to see it. But I wouldn't worry until major discounts start showing up.