Looking at Jon's list, it's going to be a battle for the 4 Best Musical slots at the 2004 Tony Awards.
Three likely candidates, just as I'm pegging them in my opinion:
-Avenue Q, whether it runs or not, has earned great reviews, and will probably be one of the nominees. Surprised there's not more talk of it on this website. It's a good show. Go!
-The Boy from Oz looks like it will be a hit, thanks to Jackman, and whether critics like it or not, the Tonys love to honor financial successes with nominations. (The score, though, consisting of old Peter Allen songs, would not appear to be eligible).
-Bombay Dreams, though it received some mixed notices in London,
is getting a revamp for New York, with a new book by Thomas (Hairspray, Producers) Meehan, who can't seem to do anything wrong these days. With the Andrew Lloyd Webber imprimatur and AR Rahmun's score (most of which is lovely), it seems a likely candidate.
That leaves Wicked, Taboo and Never Gonna Dance to duke it out for the fourth spot for Best Musical, as the season stands now, without knowing what shows may suddenly appear on the horizon.
Given all of that, and that it's taken more than 10 years to get The Visit to New York, what's another year?
"Gif me the cobra jool!"