I really wouldn't be surprised if Cinderella did what Evita did. It opened at exactly the same time (one year later), did very well in the beginning, then plummeted and closed in January. The grosses, timeline, and theatre size between the two are very similar. Cinderella has a better chance of getting a huge box office boors during the holidays though.
"There’s nothing quite like the power and the passion of Broadway music. "