Profile for jkcohen626

Glad I'm not the only who saw this and though "this is way too early to announce a cast like that" 

EDSOSLO858 said: "Three less shows played last weekcompared to the same week last year, and still both attendance figures and cumulative gross are higher now.

Then again,Merrilywasn’t playing this time in 2023, so take this with a grain of salt."

Remove Merrily and you're left with 4 shows less than this time last year and still a higher overall gross and attendance.  

Broadway Flash said: "The other Gatsby is not stopping this one from moving in. And that Gatsby is going to run on broadway for years, it’s selling very well."

It isn't really. Being in the million dollar club is good. But, it's a lot less good when you're in a 1700-seat theatre. They're selling a ton of tickets at TKTS and that's just not sustainable for a long run. 

If I remember correctly, it's not during one of his songs, it's during a competition during Bustopher Jones. That also probably makes it less memorable. 

EDSOSLO858 said: "Notebook, Tommy, and Suffs are good as gone by Labor Day at the latest."

A show that had it's best week ever, has shown a clear positive grosses trend, and just won two major Tonys is definitely in the same category as two shows that made $200 thousand less than it and have both floundered for months. Can't wait for you to be proven wrong yet again!

 

Broadway Flash said: "American Buffalo didn’t recoup?"

American Buffalo was not at all a hit. It averaged around $500k per week and was regularly under 80% capacity. That whole 2021/22 seasons was particularly rough for plays. A lot of stuff that would do a lot better if it was on broadway right now. 

Bette's Turban said: "Hudson is too big for this show and would be a mistake."

Hudson is the 5th smallest commercial proscenium theatre and I'd argue it feels just as intimate as the Kerr and more intimate than the Lyceum. Honestly, I'd prefer sitting in the Hudson balcony over the Golden rear mezz any day. If it can't get into the Booth or Golden, the Hudson is the best option. 

I'm guessing Left on Tenth. I thought that might be the type of thing that was announced with only stars attached and then never happens. But, their website has the full cast and says that Stro is directing and Daryl Roth is producing, so I think it'll actually happen. 

https://www.leftontenthbroadway.com/ 

EDSOSLO858 said: "Isn’t Danya also directinga new play this Broadway season?"

I hadn't heard anything, but I hope so! I'll go see anything she does. 

theatergoer3 said: "JudyDenmark said: "theatergoer3 said: "Dress Rehersal Performance "Spoilers"

Mickey3309 said: "FANtomFollies said: "Curious to hear about how 'Memory' is performed. Is it still a traditional 'park and bark' Broadway ballad or is there a twist to it in any way?"

Could someone who has attended address this Q? I was wondering the same thing."

It's pretty traditional. There's one thing I can think of that's a bit different (see the spoilers)

EDSOSLO858 said: "I’ll also add, this year there is a strong possibility that best musical, best score, and best book will all go to different shows — which hasn’t happened since 2005 not counting the pandemic season (Spamalot,The Light in the Piazza,…Spelling Bee)."

Really ping this is what happens! Let's go Outsiders Best Musical, Suffs Best Book, Stereophonic Best Score!!!

sr4mjc said: "Is the principle cast doing matinees? I will be up for work in August and the only show I can do is Sunday matinee."

Every actor is contracted for 8 performances a week. Even with this being such a long and demanding show, nobody in this cast is a star (yet) and SOOO much of the appeal and allure is about this cast seeming to really be a band. They aren't taking performances off besides when absolutely necessary. 

MezzA101 said: "Tony Awards 2024 Winners Predictions: Category-By-Category Using Math



https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/lifestyle/arts/tony-awards-winners-math-2024-ben-zauzmer-1235921822/"

This is an interesting way to attempt predictions. Certainly good to see some synchronization of predictors. But, it's definitely producing some strange results.

Maria Friedman with a 24.9% chance of winning Best Director over Jessica Stone with a 23.8% chance actually made me laugh out loud (to be clear: Stone's work is great, but she's a non-factor in the category). As did the Outsiders in fourth for Best Musical (behind Water for Elephants and with only a 14.6% chance of winning) and Stereophonic with a 16.3% chance of winning Best Score.

There are likely issues with weighting of the inputs. I'd guess the model is overvaluing awards with fundamentally different voter bases, shows that competed in them in different years, different categories, and that include both broadway and Off-Broadway. Hopefully Ben Zauzmer can compare the actual results from this year with his predictions and what each input predicted to weight better for the future!