Profile for TigerBait88

Kad said: "

For me, I think Paulson’s canvassing rules out the idea of Jasmine Amy Rogers pulling a dark horse victory. She would need support that would have shown up here."

Yeah gonna go change my predictions where I can in re: to Jasmine. Seems the two lead candidates are so far ahead that the remaining 75% or so won’t change much.

Also, might go back and go with my initial gut feeling of JPITV for Best Play. Seems it’s in the r

CoffeeBreak said: "djoko84 said: "Helen J Shen is the biggest snub of the day especially since MHE is going to win Best Musical and a lot of other awards."

Eh, her competition was better (including the not nominated Robyn Hurder). For a robot, of any version, she played the role like a human and didn't have much wattage. Not surprised by this at all.

MHE doesn't have Best Musical wrapped up in any way now. Maybe last Fall or mid winter

ElephantLoveMedley said: "I might get crucified for asking this, but are we all really so confident that Maybe Happy Ending is the heavy frontrunner for Best Musical? Death Becomes Her and Buena Vista got the same number of nominations as MHE. Death Becomes Her also edged out Shen in Best Actress to get both of their leads nominated. Buena Vista even got a Special Tony. I honestlythink Best Musical is much more competitivethan some on here believe."

For a lot of

binau said: "Do we think Maybe Happy Ending is making a profit? If this was 10 years ago I would suggest it would be and the show had legs, but now I am concerned. I’ll admit, I am super impressed at the turnaround and it’s more than I ever would have predicted but is it enough? And the dead of January is  imminent.

Now they’re surviving to stay afloat and I can imagine sharks swarming around the theatre for something in the spring."
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EDSOSLO858 said: "Credit CABARET and MAYBE HAPPY ENDING for holding rather firm this week."

Yeah if it hadn’t been for MHE announcing the true sellouts on Saturday I probably would have been thrilled with such a hold after a holiday.

After all, I’d give it a guess that the difference between the apparent weekend sellouts that MHE has had in recent weeks and the announced ones on Saturday was maybe…20-30 seats?? Those two performances co

Ravanne_1 said: "IdinaBellFoster said: "Thrilled to see MAYBE HAPPY ENDING gaining momentum!"

This is mostly really good news for MHE. Average ticket price is finally over $100 and they broke the $700k mark for the week. But it something of a mixed back because despite being a holiday week, capacity was at 88%. Still, these are much better numbers for MHE and this is the first week that they came close to (or actually managed to) cover their operating co

IdinaBellFoster said: "TigerBait88 said: "Yes yes Debbie Downers…we know this isn’t quite a money making week for Maybe Happy Ending but it’s continued improvement and shows a 750k/90% week is within reach. Baby steps…I believe this show can make it!!"

What makes their operating costs so high for such a small cast? Is it due to the technical elements?"

Yes and the higher rent/operating costs (or so I’ve re

Amy Archer said: “ I am not moving the goal posts, and do not care one way or anotherabout the fate of thatparticular show. The figure I quoted is from someone involved on the financial end of MHE, rather than the notoriously unreliable poster on Reddit, who makes up his own breakeven figures."

I get you’re a long time poster but this is basically the equivalent of saying your source is “Trust me, bro.” At least I admit the Reddit guy may

MemorableUserName said: "TigerBait88 said: "Also, it says a lot about this show that MHE is getting almost all of the discussion vs Swept Way/Wonderful World struggling as well. I’m still hopeful that MHE will be ok for at least a little while."

It really has been fascinating to watch the vultures circling this show andwaiting for a closing announcement in a way I haven't reallyseen for another show in a while, not even Tammy Faye. It's und

Amy Archer said: "The breakeven figure for MHE that I had heard from someone involved is $750K."

So we’re just gonna keep moving the goal posts on this aren’t we? 
 

I was gonna leave this alone but let’s say this is true…they’d need to get about 91% capacity at $105 a ticket to get there. Would take another big jump but not impossible this week especially if they sell out tonight.  Hope the progress cont

Ok fine I’ll concede that MHE definitely lost money this week.

The last thing I’ll say about MHE is this: I’m glad they had their best week financially so far despite the drop in capacity. As expected with the holiday, this week’s weekday shows seem to be selling better than last week which is all that matters. Hoping this show can inch higher and higher through the holidays and then we can see what happens from then. Fingers crossed for the

BdwyFan said: "You gotta account for theater rent percentage and minimum royalties. That gets added to the weekly operating costs. Why does everyone forget those costs? "

Pretty sure the college student who does the grosses breakdown on r/broadway DOES account for that. Again, I’m just trying to be positive about MHE posting their best financial week yet even if that’s a low bar. If someone wants to go argue the MHE operating number with the guy on Reddit

Bobster159 said: "Can you link to these? Because their operating docs had numbers very different from this and no amount of trimming would have got them to anything like this number."

All I know is that this show has been discussed to no end on r/broadway as well as other blogs and the operating cost was revised from 680k to 540k last week both on there and elsewhere I saw it mentioned so I took it as gospel. I’ll take a look at where this number comes fro

Bobster159 said: "TigerBait88 said: "I’ll take this as a win for Maybe Happy Ending. Up about 150k and (according to multiple sources with their operating costs) a profitable week even if it’s slim. Lots of shows took dips in attendance this week. Not gonna sweat that if they did finally make a profit this week. Hoping this is the start of a good holiday season for the show!"

a great uptick but that is nowhere near their break even. Despite c