Golden Globe Predictions

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 1/1/05 at 11:23pm

I'm interested in hearing everyone's opinion on what/who should win, and will win this year's Golden Globes - movies. The nominees are listed below, then I'll put my picks for who should win, and who will win - in my opinion.

-BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

THE AVIATOR
CLOSER
FINDING NEVERLAND
HOTEL RWANDA
KINSEY
MILLION DOLLAR BABY

-BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Scarlet Johansson, A LOVE SONG FOR BOBBY LONG
Nicole Kidman, BIRTH
Imelda Staunton, VERA DRAKE
Hilary Swank, MILLION DOLLAR BABY
Uma Thurman, KILL BILL VOL. 2

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA

Javier Bardem, THE SEA INSIDE
Don Cheadle, HOTEL RWANDA
Johnny Depp, FINDING NEVERLAND
Leonardo DiCaprio, THE AVIATOR
Liam Neeson, KINSEY


• BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY

ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND
THE INCREDIBLES
THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA
RAY
SIDEWAYS

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Annette Benning, BEING JULIA
Ashley Judd, DE-LOVELY
Emmy Rossum, THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA
Kate Winslet, ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND
Renee Zellwegger, BRIDGET JONES: THE EDGE OF REASON

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE -MUSICAL OR COMEDY

JIM CARREY ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND
JAMIE FOXX RAY
PAUL GIAMATTI SIDEWAYS
KEVIN KLINE DE-LOVELY
KEVIN SPACEY BEYOND THE SEA


• BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

THE CHORUS
HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS
THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES
THE SEA INSIDE
A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT


• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

CATE BLANCHETT THE AVIATOR
LAURA LINNEY KINSEY
VIRGINIA MADSEN SIDEWAYS
NATALIE PORTMAN CLOSER
MERYL STREEP THE MANCHURIAN CANDIDATE


• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

DAVID CARRADINE KILL BILL VOL. 2
THOMAS HADEN CHURCH SIDEWAYS
JAMIE FOXX COLLATERAL
MORGAN FREEMAN MILLION DOLLAR BABY
CLIVE OWEN CLOSER


• BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE

CLINT EASTWOOD MILLION DOLLAR BABY
MARC FORSTER FINDING NEVERLAND
MIKE NICHOLS CLOSER
ALEXANDER PAYNE SIDEWAYS
MARTIN SCORSESE THE AVIATOR


• BEST SCREENPLAY - MOTION PICTURE

CHARLIE KAUFMAN ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND
JOHN LOGAN THE AVIATOR
DAVID MAGEE FINDING NEVERLAND
PATRICK MARBER CLOSER
ALEXANDER PAYNE &
JIM TAYLOR SIDEWAYS


• BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - MOTION PICTURE

CLINT EASTWOOD MILLION DOLLAR BABY
JAN A.P. KACZMAREK FINDING NEVERLAND
ROLFE KENT SIDEWAYS
HOWARD SHORE THE AVIATOR
HANS ZIMMER SPANGLISH


• BEST ORIGINAL SONG - MOTION PICTURE

“ACCIDENTALLY IN LOVE” - SHREK 2
"BELIEVE” - THE POLAR EXPRESS
“LEARN TO BE LONELY” - THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA
“MILLION VOICES” - HOTEL RWANDA
“OLD HABITS DIE HARD” - ALFIE

--------------------------------------------------------------

Okay, here are my picks:

Best Motion Picture - Drama
should win: MILLION DOLLAR BABY
will win: THE AVIATOR

Actress - Drama
should win: Hilary Swank, MILLION DOLLAR BABY
will win: Hilary Swank, MILLION DOLLAR BABY

Actor - Drama
should win: Leonardo DiCaprio, THE AVIATOR
will win: Leonardo DiCaprio, THE AVIATOR

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
should win: SIDEWAYS
will win: SIDEWAYS

Actress - Musical or Comedy
should win/will win: Tie - I couldn't decide. Annette Benning for BEING JULIA and Kate Winslet for ETERNAL SUNSHINE...

Actor - Musical or Comedy
should win: Kevin Spacey, BEYOND THE SEA
will win: Jamie Foxx, RAY

Best Foreign Language:
should win: THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES
will win: THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES

Supporting Actress:
should win: Natalie Portman, CLOSER
will win: Cate Blanchett, THE AVIATOR

Supporting Actor:
should win: Clive Owen, CLOSER
will win: Morgan Freeman, MILLION DOLLAR BABY

Director:
should win: Clint Eastwood, MILLION DOLLAR BABY
will win: Martin Scorsese, THE AVIATOR

Screenplay:
should win: David Magee, FINDING NEVERLAND
will win: John Logan, THE AVIATOR

Best Original Score:
should win: FINDING NEVERLAND
will win: FINDING NEVERLAND

Best Original Song:
should win: Million Voices, HOTEL RWANDA
will win: Accidentally in Love, SHREK 2

[jrb_actor]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 12:55am

I'll play. This is who I think will win:

Best Film (Drama)- Million Dollar Baby

Best Actress (Drama) - Hilary Swank

Best Actor (Drama) - Leonardo DiCaprio (tough category)

Best Film (Comedy) - Sideways

Best Actress (Comedy) - Annette Bening (or Kate Winslet)

Best Actor (Comedy) - Jamie Foxx

Best Foreign Film - The Motorcycle Diaries (Or Engagement; tough category)

Best Supporting Actor - Thomas Haden Church

Best Supporting Actress - Virginia Madsen (or Cate Blanchett)

Best Director - Alexander Payne (Sideways) though this award rarely matches either Best Film winner

Best Screenplay - Charlie Kaufman (or Alexander Payne)

Best Score - Million Dollar Baby(I dunno lol)

Best Song - POTO

The TV categories are always tough--I just know that Desperate Housewives will win Best Comedy. Iron Jawed Angels will win Best TV Movie. Hilary Swank and Jamie Foxx may go home with two Golden Globes each.

[MTVMANN]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 1:03am

The Phantom of the Opera for Film and Emmy Rossum for best actress. You had to have seen this coming. AHHH come on Hollywood Foreign Press agree with me..............

[popcultureboy]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 1:22pm

As far as Best Actress in the Drama category goes, I would bet on Imelda Staunton continuing her so far unbroken sweep for Vera Drake.

[DestinyBeckoned]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 3:35pm

I don't understand why Eternal Sunshine is categorized as a comedy. I found it pretty depressing.

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 4:09pm

I agree with you.

I also hate that MUSICAL is grouped into COMEDY. They should just do away with the MUSICAL category and group the musical(s) from that year into what category they fall into - drama or comedy. I really don't understand why they need to separate them.

[kangaroo]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 4:23pm

My guesses from what I have heard:

-BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
THE AVIATOR

-BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Hilary Swank, MILLION DOLLAR BABY

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Leonardo DiCaprio, THE AVIATOR

• BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
SIDEWAYS

• Best performance by an actress - Musical or Comedy
Kate Winslet, ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND

• Best performance by an actor in a motion picture-Musical or Comedy ---- JAMIE FOXX RAY

• BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN a supporting role
CATE BLANCHETT THE AVIATOR

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
JAMIE FOXX COLLATERAL

• BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE
MARTIN SCORSESE THE AVIATOR

• BEST SCREENPLAY - MOTION PICTURE
JOHN LOGAN THE AVIATOR

• BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - MOTION PICTURE
HOWARD SHORE THE AVIATOR

• BEST ORIGINAL SONG - MOTION PICTURE
"BELIEVE” - THE POLAR EXPRESS

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 4:27pm

The score to THE AVIATOR is wretched! I would love to see FINDING NEVERLAND win this - the music really is remarkable.

I would mind if MILLION DOLLAR BABY won, although it's not as great as FN's score.

[BlueWizard]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 4:36pm

My predictions:

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
THE AVIATOR

-BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Imelda Staunton, VERA DRAKE

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Either Johnny Depp, FINDING NEVERLAND
or Leonardo DiCaprio, THE AVIATOR
(but I want Liam Neeson, KINSEY to win)

• BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
SIDEWAYS

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Annette Benning, BEING JULIA

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE -MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Jamie Foxx, RAY

• BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
CATE BLANCHETT THE AVIATOR

• BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
CLIVE OWEN CLOSER

• BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE
MARTIN SCORSESE THE AVIATOR

• BEST SCREENPLAY - MOTION PICTURE
CHARLIE KAUFMAN ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND

• BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - MOTION PICTURE
JAN A.P. KACZMAREK FINDING NEVERLAND

• BEST ORIGINAL SONG - MOTION PICTURE
“LEARN TO BE LONELY” - THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA (ugh)

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 4:52pm

You think POTO will win best song? I assume you don't like it (ugh), but I seriously think it's an awful awful song. The lyrics are terrible, and it sounds like a reject from JOSEPH.

[broadway86]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 7:13pm

WW = Will win
SW = Should win
* = Tough call

(I know I'm a dork)

Picture (Drama)
WW: Not sure
SW: The Aviator

Picture (Musical/Comedy)
WW: probably Sideways
SW: Sideways or Phantom

Director
WW: Eastwood
SW: Scorsese

Actor (Drama)*
Will win: I have a feeling about Johnny Depp.
Should win: Kevin Bacon (The Woodsman). Wait, he wasn't nominated? How could that be? Anyways... Out of the nominated, probably DiCaprio.

Actor (Comedy)
WW: Foxx
SW: Foxx

Actress (Drama)*
WW: Swank
SW: Staunton

Actress (Comedy)*
WW: Winslet
SW: Bening

Supporting Actor
WW: Freeman
SW: Carradine

Supporting Actress
WW: Portman
SW: Blanchett

Screenplay
WW: Payne and Taylor
SW: Payne and Taylor Updated On: 1/2/05 at 07:13 PM

[jrb_actor]

Posted: 1/2/05 at 7:53pm

Interesting choices proving it is still a tough race to predict. When in doubt, though, the Golden Globes rarely match up writing, directing, and picture.

[BlueWizard]

Posted: 1/3/05 at 12:06am

You think POTO will win best song? I assume you don't like it (ugh), but I seriously think it's an awful awful song. The lyrics are terrible, and it sounds like a reject from JOSEPH.

I think those journalists who vote for the Golden Globes will look at the name ANDREW LLOYD WEBBER and vote for the song without having ever heard it.

Then again, the movie has received such horrifying reviews that the voters probably already regret nominating PHANTOM for Best Musical/Comedy, so they may steer clear of the movie altogether.

[broadway86]

Posted: 1/3/05 at 6:32pm

You know, it's quite possible that there are people out there who enjoyed the film. Just a possibility...

[jrb_actor]

Posted: 1/3/05 at 6:45pm

There are people who loved Battlefield Earth and Ishtar--what's your point?

[MaTakeALookAtMe]

Posted: 1/3/05 at 7:02pm

Picture (drama): Million Dollar Baby or the Aviator
Picture (comedy or musical): Sideways
Director: Eastwood or Scorsese
Actor (Drama): DiCaprio
Actress: Imelda Staunton or Hillary Swank
Actor (c/m): Paul Giamatti
Actress: Annette Bening
Foreign language: A Very Long Engagement
Supporting Actress: Nathalie Portment or Cate Blanchett
Supporting Actor: Thomas Hayden Church
Screenplay: Charlie Kaufmann

I've listed my first choice first.

[broadway86]

Posted: 1/3/05 at 7:54pm

jrb_actor-

Are you seriously comparing "Phantom..." with "Battlefield Earth"? The only awards that "Battlefield..." won were the Razzies, let alone the Golden Globes, Broadcast Film Critics, or International Press Academy.

[BlueWizard]

Posted: 1/3/05 at 11:01pm

I'm seeing Phantom tomorrow (I'll post my review), but from the reviews I've read, this is 2004's BATTLEFIELD EARTH.

[paradox_error]

Posted: 1/4/05 at 2:52am

I for one thoroughly disliked Phantom the stage show.

But I really enjoyed the film. It stopped taking itself so seriously, and no longer tried to make an implausible story seem realistic. This was a thoroughly enjoyable film, and I hope it makes some profit.

I reviewed it after I saw it a couple of days ago:
The Phantom of the Movie Musical