There's no questions, worst-case situations were considered and planned for, that's what makes this all so terrible. I too thought maybe there was just no way to prepare for something like this.
While I am certain there will be a list of things that could have been handled better by EVERYONE involved including Bush (and HS & FEMA), I have just few questions for the "Blame Bush" crowd:
1) Was Gov. Blanco quoted as saying (before the hurricane hit) "President George W. Bush called and personally appealed for a mandatory evacuation for the low-lying city"? Wouldn't that give the Gov. the opportunity to ask for additional support?
2) Did the Mayor of New Orleans follow the City's Emergency Management Plan (EMP) regarding hurricans? And in following the City's plan, why didn't the Mayor use any of the hundred's of school buses to help those with no transportation? Why did the National Hurricane Center Director need to call the Mayor on Saturday night before it hit, to plead "Get the people out of NEw Orleans"?
3) Why did Nagin wait until Sunday morning to mandate the evac but not aggressively enforce it? Was it because he asked City attorney to research whther or not he had the power to mandate the evacuation? Was Nagin even familiar with the city's hurricane evac plan?
4) Politically speaking - Who has more to lose politcally? Gov Blanco; Mayor Nagin; Or President Bush (hint- Bush will never run for politcal office again and he's is his 2nd term)
Here is the STATE EMP link: Reading through it, clearly, their is a plan for mass evacuations for hurricanes; there are required temp shelters in the northern parts of the state; it calls for the mobilization of school buses and so on. It states that CAT 3, 4 & 5 hurricanes must have manditory evac plan, and that to anticipate waters over 20 feet (sea level) thats 40 feet for New Orleans, also that the levees may not hold when stronger hurricanes hit.
http://www.ohsep.louisiana.gov/plans/frp2003.pdf Here is the link to the City EMP
http://www.cityofno.com/portal.aspx?portal=46&tabid=26 Here are some highlights. You judge whether or not they followed their own plan.
"City of New Orleans Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan" annex I: Hurricanes
III. EVACUATION ORDER
A. Authority
As established by the City of New Orleans Charter, the government has jurisdiction and responsibility in disaster response. City government shall coordinate its efforts through the Office of Emergency Preparedness
The authority to order the evacuation of residents threatened by an approaching hurricane is conferred to the Governor by Louisiana Statute. The Governor is granted the power to direct and compel the evacuation of all or part of the population from a stricken or threatened area within the State, if he deems this action necessary for the preservation of life or other disaster mitigation, response or recovery. The same power to order an evacuation conferred upon the Governor is also delegated to each political subdivision of the State by Executive Order. This authority empowers the chief elected official of New Orleans, the Mayor of New Orleans, to order the evacuation of the parish residents threatened by an approaching hurricane.
B. Issuance of Evacuation Orders
The person responsible for recognition of hurricane related preparation needs and for the issuance of an evacuation order is the Mayor of the City of New Orleans. Concerning preparation needs and the issuance of an evacuation order, The Office of Emergency Preparedness should keep the Mayor advised.
[snip]
V. TASKS
A. Mayor
* Initiate the evacuation.
* Retain overall control of all evacuation procedures via EOC operations.
* Authorize return to evacuated areas.
B. Office of Emergency Preparedness
* Activate EOC and notify all support agencies to this plan.
* Coordinate with State OEP on elements of evacuation.
* Assist in directing the transportation of evacuees to staging areas.
* Assist ESF-8, Health and Medical, in the evacuation of persons with special needs, nursing home, and hospital patients in accordance with established procedures.
* Coordinate the release of all public information through ESF-14, Public Information.
* Use EAS, television, cable and other public broadcast means as needed and in accordance with established procedure.
* Request additional law enforcement/traffic control (State Police, La. National Guard) from State OEP