"One thing is for sure, there are certainly going to be a lot of choices this year and it will be an interesting race."
You hit the nail right on the head. Last season, the only two serious contenders were Jersey Boys and The Drowsy Chaperone, while The Color Purple and The Wedding Singer were there to fill the category up. This year, we'll have the two critical hits Grey Gardens and Spring Awakening, plus the promising Curtains and LoveMusik. Unless they turn out to be vastly disappointing I'd say we've got at least four good contenders.
My avatar = A screencap from Avatar, arguably the greatest animated show of all