SWEENEY TODD will probably close once the contracts for Cerveris and LuPone are up. The show took a nosedive when Kaye was in for that one week, I cannot imagine how much it will suffer without the marquee names. It would have had a little over a year run, and it is a critical and economic success. It was a great production, but not everything can last.
I have a feeling DIRTY ROTTEN SCOUNDRELS and THE WEDDING SINGER will close sometime around December/January in order to reap the benefits from the tourism season and avoiding the dry spell during the winter months.
THE PRODUCERS is very much a question mark. Its true test will be during the winter months. If it slips quite a bit then and fails to fully bounce back, the St. James may be an empty theatre come this time next year. Although, it might work out with Mel Brooks, who can open YOUNG FRANKENSTEIN in the same theater.
Another question mark is BEAUTY AND THE BEAST. There were rumors floating around that Disney is planning to close it sometime within the next year once MARY POPPINS opens. Having four shows on Broadway means they are competing with one another. Its grosses are not terrible at all, it has been doing good steady business, however it is the longest running of the four, TARZAN still needs to recoup its massive investment, and THE LION KING is too big of a hit, grossing over a million weekly.
"I'm just a musical prostitute, my dear." ~ Freddie Mercury