The night before Katrina hit there was a previously scheduled special on National Geographic Explorer about the apparent worsening of natural disasters that I happened to watch. It covered tsunamis, earthquakes, volcanoes and hurricanes. For each of the topics they focussed on one place on earth where not only were people extremely vulnerable to these disasters and not likely to survive them (like the foolish citizens who keep moving to Naples who will not make it through the inevitable eruption of Vesuvius) and for the hurricane section they said that New Orleans was destined to be destroyed by a hurricane.
They talked about how the series of levees that the army corps of engineers erected to "protect" the downtown area they call "the bowl" because it is below sea level, would probably not work if the city took a direct hit from a category 2 or 3 hurricane. It was at that point I said, "Uh oh." When CNN showed interviews yesterday with people who rode the storm out in the French Quarter and who said after the storm passed that they "knew the old house" would hold up, I thought, "I dunno... the problem is the water."
I wasn't anywhere near the media throughout the day today, but I have to say, after seeing that special I am not suprised by any of this. There were some experts who didn't think New Orleans would be able to recover for years if they took a smaller hit than this... that the compromised drinking water alone could actually make the place unihabitable.
It was a bleak scenario, and it seems to be coming to pass.
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