Ok, I'm gonna kind of play devil's advocate here.
First of all, I love RENT. I think it's a great show with an amazing story and message. Didn't like Cats so much, but I was eight and it was my first Broadway show. Maybe it was the lyrics that went: Jellicles can and Jellicles do jellicles can and jellicles do, etc. (Then again RENT has: rent rent rent rent rent. we're not gonna pay RENT. Cause everything is RENT.) Alright, so those are my biases straight up.
RENT is becoming dated. That's true. The East Village is very different, the whole structure of the AIDS medicines are different. It's all true. And maybe some people don't want to see it because of that.
But (and this is where I play a little devil's advocate), who's never seen a period piece? Just because the way they do things isn't how we do it today, the themes of love, friendship, survival, etc live on. Are any shows completely up to date and change with the years and advances of medicine and everything? Just because it's dated doesn't mean the subject matter isn't still relevant. So while some may not see the show for that reason, I know I will not stop seeing the show because how they portray the East Village isn't completely accurate. I know I'm not going to go see a show to see if the AIDS medicines are up to date. You're not supposed to focus on that, you're supposed to focus on the themes of love, etc.
Overall, I would like to see RENT pass Cats, but I don't actually think it will. And come on, who can predict that now? It still has to double it's life span of now to even compete. That's too long to predict.
Just my 2 cents.
"This table, he is over one hundred years old. If I could, I would take an old gramophone needle and run it along the surface of the wood. To hear the music of the voices. All that was said." - Doug Wright, I Am My Own Wife