#1 Reliability of Predictions Posted: 6/9/17 at 2:23pm How spot on have the media's predictions been in recent years (Times, Forbes, Hollywood Reporter, etc.)?
#2 Reliability of Predictions Posted: 6/9/17 at 2:25pm Google to see what each source predicted, then check that against what actually won that year --- that'll give you the answers.
#3 Reliability of Predictions Posted: 6/9/17 at 2:26pm Pick the opposite of Michael Riedel and you'll be good to go. "I shall stay until the wind changes."