So now that Tarzan has opened... predictions?

It looks like we've got our three best bets for Best Musical nominees...

JERSEY BOYS
DROWSEY CHAPERONE
THE COLOR PURPLE

Are we thinking close race between WEDDING SINGER and TARZAN for that last spot? I think Wedding Singer got a little better reviews, but Tarzan's got the commercial aspect. Thoughts?

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I'd be shocked if TARZAN got a best musical nod - even before the reviews came out, the industry and Disney knew they had a turkey on their hands. A turkey that will still run for years, mind you, but a bird that aint gonna win no awards or fans of savvy theatregoers.

Amen Mom....

I think it would be hysterical if they threw in WIW just to give a big *innapropriate gesture* to Wedding Singer and Tarzan...

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WIW above Tarzan or the Wedding Singer.

Not a lot of people seem to remember, but WIW got markedly better reviews than either TARZAN or WEDDING SINGER. I would hope it would get nominated.

TT

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Agreed. I'd settle for 3 nominations.

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I'd love to see Woman in White get the fourth best musical slot.

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I'm really pulling for THE WEDDING SINGER to pick up the final slot as well. I had a good time there. It shouldn't win, but THE WOMAN IN WHITE is one of the worst things I've ever seen.

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Yes, it is really that bad. It's not as bad as TARZAN or RING OF FIRE, but it's bad.

All the video show previews make the shows look good. That's the point.

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The Woman in White was not a very good musical. I cannot imagine it being nominated for a Tony award for Best Show. I really wanted to like WIW, but the show was not what it could or should have been. There were some excellent individual performances - Friedman, Ball, Christian... but they couldn't overcome their material. The ALW score had a couple of nice highlights, but was mostly very derivative. There were times I expected to hear a line or two from the Phantom score interspersed with the music. Worst of all were the sets - I hated them. The projections on the screen moved much too fast and there was much too little of traditional set design.

The nominees for Best Musical will be:
The Color Purple
Jersey Boys
The Drowsy Chaperone
The Wedding Singer

I highly doubt The Woman in White will get a nod. Maria Friedman is the show's best chance at winning/getting nominated for anything. She's a lock for a nod but I doubt she'll win even though she was brilliant and the only really stand-out part of an otherwise mediocre, half-baked show.


Tarzan could possibly get a lighting, choreography, or set design nod but nothing else. Stephen Lynch will get a nod for Best Actor over Strickland, Gambetese has no shot at all at a nod for Best Actress, Myrle Dandridge (sp??) could have possibly gotten a nod in any other season but the Featured Actress category is already way to jam-packed with possibles, Chestor Gregory II is the show's best shot at getting an acting nod for any member of its ensemble. And his chances are dismal. I'll be shocked if Tarzan gets even two or three nods when the nominations come out. It doesn't matter anyway because it's officially one of the worst-reviewed shows of the year and it won't win anything no matter how big of a public smash it is/will be.

I know it's a bit cynical to say this, but the reality is that the performance of a scene from "Tarzan" on the Tony's (with people flying through the air and singing familiar songs) could sell a lot of tourist tickets to this and other shows. I know there are voters who'll be taking that into consideration.

I agree--I really just want to see them perform a full number since I won't be seeing the show anytime soon.