I agree that locks for wins are very scarce-looking right now. The only ones I think are La Cage for Best Revival, Hodge for Best Actor and Memphis for Score.
Jan Maxwell is wonderful in Tenor, but her part is so small I'm not sure that she will win for it (although I agree she will be nominated). Competing against almost-leads like Sarah Poulson could be a challenge.
I think that there will be a lot of unexpected nominations, particularly in the Featured categories, which seem incredibly wide open.
"What was the name of that cheese that I like?"
"you can't run away forever...but there's nothing wrong with getting a good head start"
"well I hope and I pray, that maybe someday, you'll walk in the room with my heart"