Reviews rarely have anything to do with who wins the Tony. I feel that Julie Andrews would have won, simply because she's a theatrical legend and it may have been her one last Broadway hurrah. Although Donna Murphy got raves in THE KING AND I, (sorry to bring up this,) but Kristin Chenoweth got absolute raves in WICKED, while Idina Menzel was ripped apart in a number of the reviews. And look what happened there....
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy."
-Charlie Manson