I don't know, this will be a tough year for musicals...
The Frogs
Dracula
Brooklyn
Little Women
Good Vibrations
Dirty Rotten Scoundrels
Spamalot
All Shook Up
The Light In The Piazza
and POSSIBLY Zanna!
With that list, I see it being a close race between The Frogs, Little Women, Dirty Rotten Scoundrels, Spamalot, Light in the Piazza and Zanna! (if it actually opens) for those four nominations for Best Musical.
And I coubt that Brooklyn will be nominated for Musical. It's basically been the worst reviewed show of the year (close tie with Dracula). I'm sure the performers will be recognized though. At least Eden and Ramona.
Eeeeeeyyyyyyyyaaaaaaaannnnnddddd aaaaaaaiiiiiiiiyyyyyyaaaaaammmmmmmm teeeeeeeelllllliiiiiinnngg yyyyooooooouuuuuuuwwwaaaahh...