Profile for Broadway61004

Levy feels like a very safe lock at this point. However, I wouldn't completely rule out the possibility that either Cristiana Pitts or Sara Chase ride a huge surprising Tony wave of support for their shows (not saying that will happen with either of their shows, but think of how when Band's Visit surprised with 10 wins and swept up Ariel Stachel with it, or Once surprising with 8 and Steve Kazee surprisingly being a part of that). Again, smart money clearly on Levy, but I could envisi

scripps said: "I second Joe Mantello. It surprises me that his last Tony was more than 20 years ago. I want this for him this year as let's be real, a lot of us were skeptical, and his Salesmanwound up being really special."

Was thinking about this the other day. It's sort of an interesting parallel that in the last 20 years, his biggest chance of winning was most likely for The Humans, a solid but pretty traditional staging of the Best Play winn

TheGingerBreadMan said: "Lesley Manville. In all my years of theatre-going, there are only 2-3 times that I can think of where I was so deeply absorbed and emotionally impactedby a performance. She made real magic on that stage. I cannot fathom how she managed to do what she did 8 times a week."

I completely agree. However, Carrie Coon was also absolutely brilliant in Bug, and in almost any other year, I'd be rooting for her. So, while I'll be upset if Manvil

Kad said: "I don't know that Jellicle underperformed, per se. It hit the minimum of its expected nomination range- it got in absolutely everywhere it was expected to. It didn't rack up performing nominations, but that was always going to be harder with it and it's worth noting that the only performer to be nominated for this production in any major award, off or on Broadway, has been de Shields."

The part I'm still curious about with Jellicle

Fred Mason said: "Do we think Liberation is the front runner for Best Play?"

It's a true battle between it and Giant. I'm leaning towards Giant because a) recency bias and b) how timely and relevant it is and therefore the emotional impact it is making on the voters. But Liberation could definitely win.

I also would not completely rule out a late surge by The Balusters. It's extremely well liked among the NY theatre crowd and there's also a bit

Ptero2 said: "Anyone think Kelli O'Hara has a shot at a nom? They love nominating her almost as much as they love not giving her the trophy. It's been 22 years since the last time she missed a nomination (for Dracula, the Musical) and the last two slots in Leading Actress in a Play feel pretty wide open."

I think she has a shot, but with Byrne, Coon, Manville and Flood seeming almost assuredly, it really comes down to if they like Fallen Angels enough to

Jeffrey Karasarides said: "If Caroline, or Change was running during Tony season, maybe it would've at leastincreased Clarke's chances of winning. I don't know if the showendingits limited run months beforehand was too much of a detriment given that the portal system requiresvoters to log everything they've seen throughout the season."

Even so, we all know the Tonys are allergic to shows/performances from musicals that are already closed. No

One really interesting thing lost in all this: Roundabout's new artistic director is Chris Ashley, who directed the 2000 revival. Now, he doesn't officially start until this summer, but I can't imagine he hasn't had quite a bit of influence on this season and its productions. So, my point being: If the 2000 revival was all about callbacks and that kind of atmosphere and now this new version is actively trying to shut that all down--perhaps there's a link? Perhaps Ashley wa