2006 Golden Globe Predictions!

[bernadette88]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:31am

Best Pic, Drama

***Brokeback Mountain
• The Constant Gardener
• Good Night, and Good Luck
• A History of Violence
• Match Point

Best Pic, Musical or Comedy




• Mrs. Henderson Presents
• Pride & Prejudice
• The Producers
• The Squid and the Whale
***Walk the Line

Best Director

• Woody Allen, Match Point
• George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
• Peter Jackson, King Kong
***Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
• Steven Spielberg, Munich

Best Actress, Drama

• Maria Bello, A History of Violence
***Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
• Gwyneth Paltrow, Proof
• Charlize Theron, North Country
• Zhang Ziyi, Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Actor, Drama

• Russell Crowe , Cinderella Man
• Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
• Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
***Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
• David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck

***I truly feel Heath's performance was amazing. I really feel as though he is going to pull this one out against Hoffman!!

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy

• Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
• Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
***Laura Linney, The Squid and the Whale
• Sarah Jessica Parker, The Family Stone
• Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy

***Pierce Brosnan, The Matador
• Jeff Daniels, The Squid and the Whale
• Johnny Depp, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
• Nathan Lane, The Producers
• Cillian Murphy, Breakfast on Pluto
• Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line


What do you think?

[FindingNamo]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:34am

The Gay Brokeback Mountain Cheerleading Squad will be by tomorrow to form a human pyramid in this thread. We're too tired right now and we have to study.

Brokeback! WOOOOOO!

[greeneyed_one]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:34am

I'm way to tired to type out my whole list, I agree most of your's though. I love Heath Ledger more than life itself. :)

[luvtheEmcee]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:35am

Damn it, Namo you beat me.

Ah, well. WOOO!

Seriously. I wish BBM the best.

[BlueWizard]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:35am

I have the same predictions as you, EXCEPT that Reese Witherspoon and Joaquin Phoenix will win Best Actor and Best Actress, respectively, in a Musical/Comedy. They don't have much competition, buzz-wise.

I'm most unsure about the Ledger-Hoffman, race, though. The others are pretty certain.

Updated On: 1/9/06 at 12:35 AM

[bernadette88]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:35am

totally understand! Do you feel as though Heath is gonna pull this one out! I am hoping and praying!

[BlueWizard]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:44am

I think it's gonna come down to a hair. The critics' awards have been pretty split down the middle.

Hoffman has the reputation, but he's not running an Oscar campaign. Ledger is really getting his name out there, but his young age and lack of other prestige films on his resume will hurt him.

I'm gonna bet on Ledger, just because the Golden Globes do tend to award glitz a bit more. (That's not a statement against Ledger's performance, which I enjoyed more than Hoffman's.) For the Academy Awards, I think it's Hoffman's.

Updated On: 1/9/06 at 12:44 AM

[broadway86]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:58am

Best Pic, Drama

***Brokeback Mountain
• The Constant Gardener
• Good Night, and Good Luck
• A History of Violence
• Match Point

Best Pic, Musical or Comedy

• Mrs. Henderson Presents
• Pride & Prejudice
• The Producers
• The Squid and the Whale
***Walk the Line

Best Director

• Woody Allen, Match Point
• George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
• Peter Jackson, King Kong
***Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
• Steven Spielberg, Munich

Best Actress, Drama

• Maria Bello, A History of Violence
***Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
• Gwyneth Paltrow, Proof
• Charlize Theron, North Country
• Zhang Ziyi, Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Actor, Drama

• Russell Crowe , Cinderella Man
• Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
• Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
***Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
• David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck

While I think that Hoffman will win the SAG and the Oscar, I am predicting that Ledger will win the Globe. This is fitting, since both actors are absolutely phenomenal.

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy

• Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
• Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
• Laura Linney, The Squid and the Whale
• Sarah Jessica Parker, The Family Stone
***Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy

• Pierce Brosnan, The Matador
• Jeff Daniels, The Squid and the Whale
• Johnny Depp, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
• Nathan Lane, The Producers
• Cillian Murphy, Breakfast on Pluto
***Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line Updated On: 1/9/06 at 12:58 AM

[BlueWizard]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 1:13am

Broadway86, I'm gonna be standing right alongside you when the awards are announced.

[jrb_actor]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 1:14am

While I agree with these picks, it will be a surprise should Ang AND the film win. Director and screenplay rarely seem to match up with Best Pic winners.

[broadway86]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 1:17am

BlueWizard-

You gotta date.

EDIT: Just noticed something... Look at most of the avatars in this thread. Updated On: 1/9/06 at 01:17 AM

[popcultureboy]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 6:05am

Wow, yeah all but 2 avatars are Brokeback Mountain. Well now make that 3. To hell with the Gay Cowboy Cheerleaders, I am a one man ScarJo Cheerleading Squad. If she doesn't take the Globe and the Oscar for her fierce performance in Match Point there will be much gnashing of teeth and beating of breast.

[bernadette88]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 10:40am

I will be absolutely devastated if Heath doesn't win the Globe. I would love for him to win the Oscar, but I am a little more doubtful about that one. He so deserves it!!!!!

[touchmeinthemorning]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 10:50am

Best Pic, Drama

***Brokeback Mountain
for sure

Best Pic, Musical or Comedy

Walk the Line
I can't see anything else winning

Best Director

***Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
for sure

Best Actress, Drama

• Maria Bello, A History of Violence
this is my out on a limb...i think the globes don't like tv stars turning into movie stars. and i think huffman's performance is ugly and lazy.

Best Actor, Drama
• Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
he may not win an oscar, but he'll get a globe

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy

• Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
another out on a limb. the globes love the new girls.

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy
• Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
this is a lock

[Auggie27]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 11:38am

The Globes are their own thing, often (Madonna for EVITA...), determined by press, not artists voting for peers.

The best indicator for the Oscars:

The DGA award for director.
The SAG award for actors.

If Heath pulls the SAG, I think the Oscar's his. Last year Annette Benning was deemed "overdue" for an Oscar but lost the SAG to Hillary Swank, and that seemed to seal the deal for the Oscar.

[robbiej]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 11:45am

Ah...but don't forget Bening got the SAG for AMERICAN BEAUTY and lost to Swank at the Oscars.

[Auggie27]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 11:55am

Thanks, Robbie. You're quite right. This looks like a tight race, then, down to the wire between Hoffman and Ledger. I do believe it's too easy to pick a winner from the one who has the better campaign. I'm not sure Ledger's fan base in Hollywood is that much bigger than Hoffman's. Hoffman has made many films, and been brilliant before (Ripley springs to mind).

I do find myself wondering: Did the folks at Focus know, in advance, that Heath's work would be so singled out? I think everyone is surprised how he has been praised so highly, independent of Jake.

Personally, on 2nd viewing, I found Jake the unsung hero of the film. Without his vulnerability, Heath's soticism would be in a vacuum. I think Jake could be the Zeta-Jones, or the Geena Davis, of this Oscars: a lead who gets the supporting trophy.

[robbiej]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:03pm

Agreed about Jake.

But SAG's nom for Hoffman for, of all things, Flawless, makes me think he's an 'actor's actor' in their eyes. Which may give him the edge.

And though it might be too easy, it may indeed come down to the campaign this year.

As for Jake, I agree. Though I wish he would have aged more physically by the end of the film (in walk and voice), it's still a very strong performance that could easily walk away with the award.

[ZONEACE]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 12:12pm

Best Pic, Drama

Brokeback Mountain
* The Constant Gardener
Good Night, and Good Luck
A History of Violence
Match Point

Best Pic, Musical or Comedy

* Mrs. Henderson Presents
Pride & Prejudice
The Producers
The Squid and the Whale
Walk the Line

Best Director

Woody Allen, Match Point
* George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck
Peter Jackson, King Kong
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Steven Spielberg, Munich

Best Actress, Drama

Maria Bello, A History of Violence
* Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Gwyneth Paltrow, Proof
Charlize Theron, North Country
Zhang Ziyi, Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Actor, Drama

Russell Crowe , Cinderella Man
* Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy

* Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
Laura Linney, The Squid and the Whale
Sarah Jessica Parker, The Family Stone
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy

Pierce Brosnan, The Matador
Jeff Daniels, The Squid and the Whale
Johnny Depp, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Nathan Lane, The Producers
* Cillian Murphy, Breakfast on Pluto
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line



Yes, I said Cillian Murphy was gonna win. Every year they have a winner that sort of makes you go "WHAT?!?!?!" and he's gonna be it.

[Auggie27]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 2:04pm

The Hollywood F. Press loves to be the first to go there, so I think the esoteric choices -- GARDINER and Clooney -- are unlikely. I could be wrong. But Zoneface is right, they love to find some oddities, the unexpected (the nom for Sarah Jessica Parker is already in that strange category. The only actor to land in that film, really, was Keaton.)

Speaking of which, I still say, Laura Linney in the "comedy" category is beyond strange. SQUID AND WHALE is no comedy, by any definition.

But am I alone is feeling Clare Danes got shafted this year? I thought she was wonderful in SHOPGIRL. Understated and really heartbreaking.

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 2:13pm

Yes, Claire Danes gave my favorite female performance of the year.

My choices:

Best Pic, Drama

Should win: Brokeback Mounta
Will wil: Brokeback Mountain

Best Pic, Musical or Comedy

Should win: Walk the Line
Will win: Walk the Line

Best Director

Should win: Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Will win: George Clooney, Good Night and Good Luck

Best Actress, Drama

Should win: Gwynyth Paltrow, PROOF
Will win: Felicity Huffman, TRANSAMERICA

Best Actor, Drama

Should win: Heath Ledger, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Will win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, CAPOTE


Best Actress, Musical or Comedy

Should win: Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Will win: Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy

Should win: Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
Will win: Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line

[xxnewgirlxx]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 3:23pm

I just saw a commercial for "The Matador" last night. It's the first I heard of it. Can anyone give me a synopsis and/or buzz? Thanks!

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 10:33pm

No, but I've seen a couple trailers for it, and it looks AWFUL and completely not funny.

[aspiringguy715]

Posted: 1/9/06 at 10:40pm

Best Picture, Drama

Should win: Brokeback Mountain
Will win: Brokeback Mountain

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy

Should win: Walk the Line
Will win: Walk the Line

Best Director

Should win: Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Will win: Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain

Best Actress, Drama

Should win: Felicity Huffman, TRANSAMERICA
Will win: Felicity Huffman, TRANSAMERICA

Best Actor, Drama

Should win: Heath Ledger, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Will win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, CAPOTE


Best Actress, Musical or Comedy

Should win: Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Will win: Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy

Should win: Cillian Murphy, Breakfast on Pluto
Will win: Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line

Updated On: 1/9/06 at 10:40 PM

[eslgr8]

Posted: 1/10/06 at 3:48am

Remember, it's the Hollywood FOREIGN Press Association. And Heath Ledger is Australian. I think this could very much play in his favor! (At least I hope so!)