I do think someone's question earlier was a good one: The Producers Guild award may not always be a precursor, but with the Producers, Directors and Writers weighing in on BROKEBACK, my guess is, there were clearly more actors among the voters who came down on the CRASH side. About 2 weeks ago, many dismissed the SAG sweep, but I think it's worth noting how cheered CRASH was that night, as the SAG members who are also Academy voters, may well have pushed CRASH over. (And don't forget 130,000 dvds mailed out to everyone...)
It ain't a presidential election; best film can win by one vote. We'll never see the numbers, but it's very possible the two films had close tallies. People keep saying "They" voted for CRASH instead, as if it was somehow uninimous.
"I'm a comedian, but in my spare time, things bother me." Garry Shandling
