Kerry vs. Bush - Who Has It?

#1

Kerry vs. Bush - Who Has It?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 11:59am

Who do you think will be elected - Kerry or Bush?

Kerry.

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"We like to snark around here. Sometimes we actually talk about theater...but we try not to let that get in our way." - dramamama611

Updated On: 8/4/04 at 11:59 AM

#2

re: Kerry vs. Bush - Who Has It?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 11:59am

Kerry

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johnraymondbarker.com

#3

re: Kerry vs. Bush - Who Has It?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 11:59am

kerry.

#4

re: Kerry vs. Bush - Who Has It?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:04pm

For the sake of this country, I hope to everything that its Kerry.

#5

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:05pm

since this is such an objective and clearly non-partisan site with a host of varying political preferences, i'm going to go way the hell out on a limb and say that bush will get about 4, 7 if he's lucky, votes here. which should confirm the tilt of the board (and how much it differs from the opinion of america as a whole), not that there's ever been any question of that nor that there is anything wrong with that. but that said...

bush

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r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.

...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty

pray to st. jude

i'm a sonic reducer

he was the gimmicky sort

fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective

#6

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:13pm

Kerry

#7

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:25pm

Papa may be right (if you'll pardon the pun!),
but my vote is going to my Sen. Kerry!

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"All I ask of you is one thing: please don't be cynical. I hate cynicism -- it's my least favorite quality and it doesn't lead anywhere. Nobody in life gets exactly what they thought they were going to get. But if you work really hard and you're kind, amazing things will happen." Conan O'Brien

#8

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:29pm

The projections as of yesterday, from Rasmussen Reports:

Electoral College 2004

Date Bush Kerry
Aug 3 197 227
July 23 208 227
July 12 197 254
July 9 203 247
July 8 203 226
July 7 203 237
June 21 203 210
June 17 188 227
June 9 177 227

#9

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:30pm

As much as I'd like Bush to win...I think that it's going to be Kerry. Not by a landslide, but by an extremely close margin.

But if any certain events happen within the next few months, I believe that Bush will gain the edge.

Okay, so I'm really not sure. I work in acting, all my friends are actors, and they all hate George Bush, so it all may be in my environment, as papa mentions.

#10

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:33pm

rasmussen is better than this one for my guy, but this one has more recent polls.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

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r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.

...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty

pray to st. jude

i'm a sonic reducer

he was the gimmicky sort

fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective

Updated On: 8/4/04 at 12:33 PM

#11

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:35pm

those are FASCINATING!

So...question...if Nader were to drop out of the race and throw his support to Kerry, do you think a big difference could be made?

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"I'm so looking forward to a time when all the Reagan Democrats are dead."

#12

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:39pm

Papa - who finances 'votemaster'? Rasmussen has an established record of non-partisanship. Those votemaster numbers seem a little skewed to me. most people are predicting a slim electoral victory for Kerry - and as we all know, that's what counts - but those numbers seem off.

#13

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:45pm

I was going to ask if that site was leaning toward Kerry themselves because some of the numbers DID seem off. Some of the strong Kerry states, I would have predicted them as Barely Kerry, and same for Bush.

#14

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:49pm

well, you can download the excel sheets and look at the poll #'s. it might be partisan as in the votemaster acknowledges that he's a kerry supporter, but the numbers seem ok to me in that he's basically assigning a lot more states that some folks are assessing as deat heats. as it is he's got no ties and all votes are assigned to a candidate. if you want to remove the statistical dead heats, the numbers will probably correspond closer to rasmussen's.

eh, or maybe not, lol. without the ties, it still favors kerry 258-202. closer, but it could be the polls that they are choosing. rasmussen, la times and ny times all have it tighter than that in their electoral counts.

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r.i.p. marco, my guardian angel.

...global warming can manifest itself as heat, cool, precipitation, storms, drought, wind, or any other phenomenon, much like a shapeshifter. -- jim geraghty

pray to st. jude

i'm a sonic reducer

he was the gimmicky sort

fenchurch=mejusthavingfun=magwildwood=mmousefan=bkcollector=bradmajors=somethingtotalkabout: the fenchurch mpd collective

Updated On: 8/4/04 at 12:49 PM

#15

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 12:57pm

I'm hoping for Kerry, but fearing it may be Bush.

#16

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:00pm

We'd better inform the trackers of the shocking results on this poll. I'll call CNN with the press release!

This site is favoring John Kerry... 8:2.
Shocking.

Press Release

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Hamlet's father.

#17

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:18pm

If you want to see a different result, go do a poll on the YaHoo site. I'm still rather pleased that even a conservative guesstimate at this point shows Kerry in the lead - with sincerest apologies to the Bush supporters among us.

#18

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:33pm

Hey, just because I think that Bush will lose doesn't mean that I want him to!

I have asked some friends reasons on why they are voting for Kerry. The reasons are pretty shocking- let's just say that most of them don't know what they're talking about. Some people have given me a solid reason why, but most of my friends are just going along with what actors, movies, and comedy central skits are saying without even looking into it further.

It kind of upsets me that people are going to the polls with that opinion, on either side. But I think that Kerry's going to win this race- and I'm not too happy with that prospect. Especially if there are more people that are voting for him like that.

#19

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:35pm

Guenevere - it can certainly be argued that a great many people are voting for Bush because they've had beaten into their heads that if they don't, they're un-American. "If you're not with us, you're against us."

#20

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:38pm

I said "on both sides."

I know people who are voting for Bush because they are homophobic and want that gay marriage ban. And that's their only good reason.

Updated On: 8/4/04 at 01:38 PM

#21

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:39pm

Certainly less pervasive and bitter than the "anyone but Bush" clones. At least 30% of the country would elect a rotten banana peel our President over W. Sad that the person matters more than the issues in many cases.

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Hamlet's father.

#22

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:40pm

i hope that Kerry wins. You never really know what is going to happen though.

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"People asking questions, lost in confusion. Well I tell them there's no problems, only solutions." ~The one and only John Lennon

#23

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:41pm

ckeaton - when Mr. Bush has willingly set himself up as the flagbearer for the represented issues, I'm not sure it all boils down to just a hatred of him as a person. There's a certain ease in fingering someone who very openly says he was 'called by god' to this task.

#24

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:42pm

Oh my god. This country is in so much need of a change. Just read for example the Missouri thread. Scary, As one vey intelligent poster pm'ed to me; the holocaust was not so long ago. I hope America starts showing its intelligence. I am hopefull.


KERRY.

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HUSSY POWER! ------ HUSSY POWER!

#25

re: kerry vs. bush - who has it?

Posted: 8/4/04 at 1:45pm

Your boy has been invoking God's name pretty frequently lately too. Is that disturbing to you?

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Hamlet's father.