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#26

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Too bad he didn't actually address the substance of the message... Only the messenger. I'd love to know what he had in mind to free/rescue the four Americans who are currently rotting away at the hands of our newly-established "frenemy."


Why didn't he address that, PalJoey?

#27

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Thank you Heinrich for explaining my position eloquently you are a treasure when it comes to the written word.



Stephanatic
#28

Nuclear Deal with Iran

If the goal of Iran is to provide terrorists with a nuke to use on NYC or Tel Aviv, why would an attack on their nuclear facilities be insane?

#29

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Because the assumption that that is Iran's goal is seriously up for debate, because it would further destabilize the region, because Iran and the U.S., and israel, have common interests in the area, because it would alienate the millions of pro U.S. Americans in Iran, because it would be an unprovoked act of aggression, because it would be a war crime, and because it would completely reinforce why a country like Iran feels it justifiably and defensively needs nukes, to wit, because many in this country, including some famous American politicians, want to bomb it... see John McCain's previous campaign rhetoric for example.

In other words by your very logic, since a stated goal of many in the U.S. and Israel, including many powerful and influential people, is to bomb Iran, an Iranian attack on NYC or Tel Aviv might well strike many in Iran as "sane."

It would hardly be the sane or the right thing to do. In both cases!

How many tens of millions of NEWLY virulently and vengefully anti-American Muslims (and particularly Shia Muslims, at a time when there is arguably a far greater Sunni threat to world peace) do you think such an act would create worldwide? Particularly since such a bombing would come at a moment when Iran has agreed to a framework for potential peace and the lifting of sanctions?

What do you think the response of the rest of the world, including our partners in reaching this framework, would be? Do you think that response could possibly be positive for either the U.S. or Israel?

Moreover, this can't be looked at in a vaccum. And many would agree that there is a far more dangerous and in some respects far more threatening nation in the region with far greater present nuclear capacity, Pakistan. Pakistan is by many accounts - inclduing arguably its own admitted ones - the greatest sponsor of international terrorism.

Would you also suggest attacking Pakistan's nuclear facilities?


Updated On: 7/17/15 at 07:47 AM

#30

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Now that Iran has a timetable to nuclear weapons, Pakistan will undoubtedly be supplying Saudi Arabia and Egypt with nuclear weapons soon, probably clandestinely.


If war comes to the region again (or should that be "when war comes to the region again"?), it will not be between the Arabs and the Israelis. It will be a Sunni-Shia conflict between Shiite Iran and the Sunni Saudis, with Syria and Lebanon on Iran's side and Egypt and Jordan and Pakistan and Turkey on the Saudi side.


ISIS will be an agent provocateur in the situation. It is (nominally) Sunni so it will not aid Iran, but it will be not be on the Saudi side because it wants to take over Saudi Arabia from the Sauds. So they will just be creating more chaos in the scenario, waiting to sweep in after the nukes destroy the existing governments and take over the region from Morocco to Pakistan.


The real problem with this deal is that it opens up a Pandora's box. It may be a Pandora's box that would eventually have opened up of its own accord, but at any rate, it's here now.


Welcome to World War III.


#31

Nuclear Deal with Iran

For once I agree completely with PalJoey... but on that post and that post only.


Henrik said: Pakistan is by many accounts - inclduing arguably its own admitted ones - the greatest sponsor of international terrorism.


Henrik -- every internationally accepted report points to Iran, not Pakistan, as the #1 sponsor of global terrorism. What reports/studies are you using to refute that commonly accepted fact? That aside, I do agree that Pakistan is actually the greatest threat to America. They receive hundreds of millions in aid from the US and go largely unchecked in their own aspirations & activities. Further, Obama's expanded drone strike program in Pakistan has killed thousands of innocent civilians since 2009 including many children. It's amazing Pakistan hasn't raised more hell over such an inhumane and unjust initiative. They accept it because they receive blood money from us but eventually they will grow tired of our illegal antics and strike back.

#32

Nuclear Deal with Iran

If not #1, it's certainly up there (and it's a nuclear power)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pakistan_and_state-sponsored_terrorism

Updated On: 7/17/15 at 08:59 AM

#33

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Henrike is a very good writer, in fact, I think this is Noam Chomsky and I claim my $5

#34

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Thanks, Glenbuck and So Fla.

but I'm a lot younger, hotter, and dumber than Chomsky.

#35

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Henrike, I was simply playing devils advocate in my post in order to get your reasoning. So now that I have it I can see we share many concerns but disagree in our fundamental beliefs concerning Iran.


I agree with much of your first paragraph with exception that the US, Israel, and Iran share many common interests. You see, although most people in Iran do not support the government, I do believe their leaders when they say they want to wipe Israel off the map. I also believe that they would love to see America suffer a nuke. You do not believe that. I do. You, perhaps, believe that Iran will live up to the terms of the nuclear deal. I do not believe they will regardless of the terms.


Pal Joey states the simple truth that the prospect of an Iranian nuke will create a nuclear arms race in the area. That arms race creates more danger to the State of Israel than an Iranian bomb. Israel supports its economy and its defense because it is an extremely successful high tech economy which is completely dependent on capital investment. Capital investment in Israel is three times(per capita) what it is in the US. An arms race in the area will have a huge negative impact on international investment.


Yes, much of what goes on is about money on both sides. The word sanity is used frequently. Just look at all the current events in the area. Saying something will or will not happen---should or should not happen because it is or would be insane is moot at this point. Most of what is currently happening is all ready insane. To say Iran would not do something because it would be insane is insane.

#36

Nuclear Deal with Iran

And further, to Dented's point, a deal (or lack thereof) is irrelevant. Iran will continue its plans just as it has in past years in spite of other deals, sanctions, and so forth. No deal changes that. All the deal does is release nearly $100 billion back into Iran's hands. More money to sponsor global terrorism. Hooray!

#37

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Paranoia is setting in. The genie has been out of the bottle for nearly 70 years start digging your fallout shelters. Iran is coming to get you. How long to you think Iran would last if it started a nuclear war? Why hasn't India, Pakistan, North Korea, the former Soviet Union, or any other nation started a nuclear war? Because that would mean annihilation.


Stephanatic
#38

Nuclear Deal with Iran

I don't believe for a second that Iran will start a nuclear war. They will provide the weapon to terrorists as they do with conventional weapons. So far no country has done anything to stop that practice, not even Israel. The missiles used by Hamas come from Iran. Isn't is reasonable to believe that Iran might provide Hamas with a nuke? Would that invite annihilation? I don't know. Would a radical SH*Te government risk it if there was no one to point your finger at? I don't want to bet Manhattan on it.


I would love to believe that this nuclear deal will delay the construction of a bomb and improve our relations with Iran. Compared to Egypt, Israel's relationship with Iran is historically very good. Prior to this government, in the days of the Shah, Iranian pilots even trained in Israel. Topple this one government which is supported by less than 50% of the people and everything in the entire middle east changes for the better. I suppose that is the long game hope with this agreement. I would like to believe but I don't.

#39

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Why hasn't Pakistan or North Korea supplied some asshole with a bomb?


Because you nuke Israel or the US the Middle East ceases to exist.



Stephanatic
#40

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Unless you are willing to consider other points of view, how can you have a serious discussion?

#41

Nuclear Deal with Iran

Other points of view are interesting. People arguing things they don't believe for the sake of arguing is TEDIOUS.


Twitter @NamoInExile Instagram none
#42

Nuclear Deal with Iran

"Because you nuke Israel or the US the Middle East ceases to exist."



Yes, exactly. That is precisely what ISIS wants. Not what any of the governments of the Middle East want, but the people behind ISIS want. They are like the apocalyptic Christians who believe that the "End Times" are coming, except ISIS does not want to wait for that passively. ISIS believes they should take an active and militaristic part in hastening end times.


So giving Shi'ite Iran nuclear weapons doesn't mean Sunni ISIS will get them, but having more of them in the region doesn't seem to make the world safer.


A few months ago, the Atlantic published an article by British scholar Graeme Wood, who delved into the theological background of ISIS, without any of the usual "Islam is terrorism" hysterics.


THE ATLANTIC: GRAEME WOOD: WHAT ISIS REALLY WANTS


The Islamic State is no mere collection of psychopaths. It is a religious group with carefully considered beliefs, among them that it is a key agent of the coming apocalypse. Here’s what that means for its strategy—and for how to stop it...


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