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#1

Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/18/09 at 11:56pm

Maybe not as exciting as the tonys for some of us I am excited for the oscars and am curious what everyone thinks the big 6 awards will go to.

Best Picture
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
My Personal Choice to Win: Frost/Nixon

Best Director
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
My Personal Choice to Win: Milk

Actor - Leading
Will Win: Sean Penn
My Personal Choice to Win: Sean Penn

Actress - Leading
Will Win: Kate Winslet
My Personal Choice to Win: Meryl Streep

Actor - Supporting
Will Win: Heath Ledger
My Personal Choice to Win: Heath Ledger

Actress - Supporting
Will Win: Viola Davis
My Personal Choice to Win: Kate Winslet. Im aware she isnt nominated but I felt they should have continued with the trend of her being supporting (with a double nom for rev. road) and then her and streep getting oscars.

Now your turn everyone! Hoping to spark a discussion.

<------ Me and my friends with patti Lupone at my friends afterparty for her concert with audra mcdonald during the summer of 2007.
"I am sorry but it is an unjust world and virtue is only triumphant in theatricle performances" The Mikado

#2

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 12:03am

BEST PICTURE:
Slumdog Millionaire

BEST DIRECTOR:
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire

BEST ACTOR:
Sean Penn, Milk

BEST ACTRESS:
Kate Winslet, The Reader

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Milk

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Slumdog Millionaire

BEST DOCUMENTARY:
Man on Wire

BEST ANIMATED FILM:
WALL-E

Formerly SirNotAppearing - Joined 3/08

#3

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:28am

BEST PICTURE:
Slumdog Millionaire

BEST DIRECTOR:
Danny Boyle (though it could be another Brokeback, in which Milk losing all other categories gets the BEST DIRECTOR instead)

BEST ACTOR:
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler (although I want Sean Penn to win)

BEST ACTRESS:
Kate Winslet, The Reader

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Milk

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Frost/Nixon

BEST ANIMATED FILM:
WALL-E

#4

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:32am

Will post mine later, but I just wanted to say that of all the brilliant turns (in pretty damn fantastic movies) that Winslet has given and been nominated for, I can't believe that it will be THIS movie that the Academy feels the need to award. It just isn't that great of a film, and while she does a good job, it's not remotely near to her performances in LITTLE CHILDREN, ETERNAL SUNSHINE, or even IRIS.
Saw THE WRESTLER tonight, Mickey Rourke is fantastic but I thought Marisa Tomei gave her best performance since MY COUSIN VINNY. If it weren't such a strong year for supporting female roles, she'd win.

"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"

#5

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:37am

Best Picture
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
My Personal Choice to Win: If either Slumdog Millionaire or Milk take it, I'll be happy, though I'd probably cheer louder for Milk based on personal reasons.

Best Director
Will Win: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
My Personal Choice to Win: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire

Actor - Leading
Will Win: Mickey Rourke
My Personal Choice to Win: Sean Penn (although I haven't seen The Wrestler, unfortunately)

Actress - Leading
Will Win: Kate Winslet
My Choice: Kate Winslet (I'm not entirely sure that hers was the strongest performance this year. I had very mixed feelings about the movie, and even about her performance, but it's definitely up there with my other picks for the best performances of the year, and in a coin toss the sheer overdue-ness tips it her way.)

Actor - Supporting
My Prediction: Heath Ledger
My Choice: Heath Ledger

Actress - Supporting
My Prediction: Penelope Cruz
My Choice: Viola Davis

"Why, I make more money than... than... than Calvin Coolidge! PUT TOGETHER!"
~Lina Lamont

My name wasn't, isn't, and will never be Scott.

#6

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:51am

BEST PICTURE:
Synecdoche New York

BEST DIRECTOR:
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight

BEST ACTOR:
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

BEST ACTRESS:
Lina Leandersson, Let the Right One In

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Synecdoche New York

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Let the Right One In

BEST ANIMATED FILM:
WALL-E

#7

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 7:04am

Best Picture
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Actor
Will Win: Mickey Rourke
Should Win: Sean Penn or Frank Langella

Best Actress
Will Win: Kate Winslet
Should Win: Kate Winslet

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Heath Ledger
Should Win: Phillip Seymour Hoffman

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Penelope Cruz
Should Win: Viola Davis

Best Director
Will Win: Danny Boyle
Should Win: David Fincher

"Love the Art in Yourself. Not Yourself in the Art." -- Stanislavski

#8

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 8:02am

Best Picture:
Will Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Actor:
Will Win: Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
Should Win: Sean Penn - Milk

Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Should Win: Josh Brolin - Milk

Best Actress:
Will Win: Kate Winslet - The Reader
Should Win: Kate Winslet - The Reader

Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win: Penelope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Should Win: Marissa Tomei - The Wrestler

Best Director:
Will Win: Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win: Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire

#9

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 12:52pm

I haven't seen all the nominees yet, but I have seen "Rachel Getting Married," and quite enjoyed Anne Hathaway's performance. I seem to remember her being an early favorite. Could Streep and Winslet split the vote, allowing Hathaway to sneak in?

"Y'all have a GRAND day now"

#10

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:04pm

Slumdog will sweep all the awards. In the categories it wasn't nominated in, a write-in campaign has been organized.
Including best animated short and best documentary.

....but the world goes 'round

#11

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:13pm

Unfortunately, it's Slumdog's prize to lose for movie and director. I haven't seen all the nominees, but Benjamin Button was a FAR better film as far as I'm concerned (as was Dark Knight and Wall-E).

Actor: Rourke
Actress: Streep (Haven't seen the Winslet movies, but my understanding is she's in the wrong category here)
Supp. Actor: Ledger (not even a hint of a doubt of a question)
Supp. Actress: Cruz

Hi, Shirley Temple Pudding.

#12

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:14pm

My prediction is that this will be the least-watched Oscars ever.

#13

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:28pm

Synecdouche is not nominated. We know you like it.

<-----I'M TOTES ROLLING MY EYES

#14

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:30pm

Picture:

Will:"Slumdog Millionaire"
Should: "The Reader"

Actor:

Will: Mickey Rourke
Should: Mickey Rourke

Actress:

Will: Kate Winslet
Should: Kate Winslet

Supporting Actor:

Will: Heath Ledger
Should: Philip Seymour Hoffman

Supporting Actress:

Will: Penelope Cruz
Should: Amy Adams

#15

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 1:48pm

Picture:
-Will: "Slumdog"
-Should: "Frost/Nixon"

Actor:
-Will: Sean Penn
-Should: Mickey Rourke (I know, I know) or Langella.

Actress:
-Will: Kate Winslet
-Should: Kate Winslet

Supp. Actor:
-Will: Heath Ledger
-Should: Josh Brolin

Supp. Actress:
-Will: Penelope Cruz
-Should: Penelope Cruz

Director:
-Will: Danny Boyle
-Should: Danny Boyle

#16

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 2:15pm

Theres going to be a national outrage is by some fluke Ledger doesn't win.

HSM- it looks like someone took a shit on Footloose.

#17

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 6:40pm

Best Picture: SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
Best Director: Danny Boyle, SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
Best Leading Actor: Mickey Rourke, THE WRESTLER
Best Leading Actress: Kate Winslet, THE READER
Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger, THE DARK KNIGHT
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, DOUBT
Best Original Screenplay: MILK
Best Adapted Screenplay: SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

"Y'know, I think Bertolt Brecht was rolling in his grave."
-Nellie McKay on the 2006 Broadway production of The Threepenny Opera, in which she played Polly Peachum

#18

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 6:45pm

Feel free to enter the pool, guys!

Formerly SirNotAppearing - Joined 3/08

#19

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 7:33pm

I just watched MILK again, having finally gotten to my screener of WRESTLER, and I still think Penn will be robbed if Rourke gets it. In many ways, this is Penn's finest work on screen ever, surpassing DEAD MAN and his win, MYSTIC RIVER. I am always baffled by the SAG awards going to an entirely different actor than the Oscar, since the WGA/academy line-up is much more of a match. I guess the actors in the Academy tend to be a more rarified slice. If Penn has won the SAG, doesn't he still have a good shot? Yet everyone is convinced, now, that the wind has blown to Rourke. I think the press has helped him. And he is effective in the role. But it should be Sean Penn's.

"I'm a comedian, but in my spare time, things bother me." Garry Shandling

Updated On: 2/19/09 at 07:33 PM

#20

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 8:00pm

There's a lot of publicity attached to Mickey Rourke, the guy has charisma to spare and it's exactly the kind of story Hollywood eats up: "poor washed-up guy makes a great comeback and wins the Oscar." Just like Heath Ledger win is inevitable because of the publicity circus the media has attached to it, Rourke might ride the media wave right into the Oscars. Having said that, Sean Penn's performance is one I consider to be transcendental, it's larger than life, it's powerful, uplifting and tragic in ways that Rourke's performance is not. I think Penn will win, but Rourke could easily take it too.

"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"

#21

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 8:00pm

Best Picture
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
My Personal Choice to Win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Director
Will Win: MILK

Actor - Leading
Will Win: Sean Penn
My Personal Choice to Win: Sean Penn

Actress - Leading
Will Win: Meryl Streep

Actor - Supporting
Will Win: Heath Ledger

Actress - Supporting
Will Win: Viola Davis

#22

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 8:06pm

Hope all you Penn guessers are right. Just rewatch MILK -- it's about as good as acting gets. Every scene reveals something new about the man.

"I'm a comedian, but in my spare time, things bother me." Garry Shandling

#23

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 9:07pm

"Just rewatch MILK -- it's about as good as acting gets."

I couldn't agree more.

I loved Milk. It was the best movie I saw last year. And, before I saw The Wrestler, I never thought I'd root for anyone but Penn to take home the Oscar. But Rourke's performance is the one that I still can't get out of my head.

I'll be happy for either one of them.

#24

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 9:52pm

Best Picture
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
If I were voting: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Director
Will Win: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
If I were voting: David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Actor - Leading
Will Win: Sean Penn (barely edging out Mickey Rourke)
If I were voting: Sean Penn

Actress - Leading
Will Win: Kate Winslet
If I were voting: Meryl Streep

Actor - Supporting
Will Win: Heath Ledger
If I were voting: Heath Ledger

Actress - Supporting
Will Win: Penelope Cruz
If I were voting: Penelope Cruz

"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."

blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22

#25

re: Oscar Predictions?

Posted: 2/19/09 at 10:29pm

Wow, best12bars, I couldn't disagree more with your "if i were voting" choices!!

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