Oscar Predictions?
#25re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/19/09 at 11:12pmJust saw "Slumdog," and it deserves all the accolades it receives.
#26re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/19/09 at 11:17pm
My predictions:
Best Picture
Will Win: SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
My vote: MILK
Dark Horse: BENJAMIN BUTTON
Best Director
Will Win: Danny Boyle
My vote: Gus Van Sant
Dark Horse: David Fincher or Stephen Daldry
Best Actor
Will Win: Sean Penn
My vote: Sean Penn or Richard Jenkins (pure brilliance in THE VISITOR in the kind of understated performance like Julie Christie's in AWAY FROM HER last year)
Dark Horse: Mickey Rourke
Best Actress
Will Win: Kate Winslet
My vote: Meryl Streep
Dark Horse: Meryl Streep
Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Heath Ledger
My vote: Heath Ledger (though Emile Hirsch from MILK is worthy of the award too IMO and he wasn't even nominated)
Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Penelope Cruz
My vote: Marisa Tomei, Penelope Cruz, or Viola Davis, if I were a voter I'd watch each movie over and over again to make my decision. I think all ladies give equally brilliant performances.
Dark Horse: Amy Adams (she's young, she's an A-lister now, Oscars might wanna give her the award)
Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: MILK
My vote: MILK
Dark Horse: WALL-E and FROZEN RIVER
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
My vote: SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
Dark Horse: BENJAMIN BUTTON
#27re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/19/09 at 11:29pmI wish I could understand the love for Penelope Cruz. She was very good in her role, but the role wasn't as flashy as I was hoping for. Viola Davis has approx. 12 mins of screen time and nails it right out of the park.
#28re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/19/09 at 11:37pm
BEST PICTURE: Slumdog (should be MILK)
BEST ACTOR: Rourke (should be Rourke)
BEST ACTRESS: Winslet (should be Winslet)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Ledger (as it should be)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Cruz (should be Davis)
BEST DIRECTOR: Boyle (should be Fincher)
SCREENPLAYS: MILK & SLUMDOG (as it should be)
DOCUMENTARY: MAN ON WIRE (as it should be)
ANIMATED FILM: WALL-E (as it should be)
I have to say though that REVOLUTIONARY ROAD and THE WRESTLER deserved a lot more attention as films and not just for their performances.
broadwayman17
Broadway Star Joined: 10/27/07
#29re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/20/09 at 4:36am
BEST PICTURE:
Will Win- Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win- Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Dark Horse- Milk
BEST DIRECTOR:
Will Win- Danny Boyle
Should Win- David Fincher
Dark Horse- None
BEST ACTOR:
Will Win-Sean Penn
Should Win- Mickey Rourke
Dark Horse-Mickey Rourke/Frank Langella
BEST ACTRESS:
Will Win-Kate Winslet
Should Win- Meryl Streep
Dark Horse-Anne Hathaway
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Will Win-Heath Ledger
Should Win-Heath Ledger
Dark Horse- None (Possibly Brolin)
BEST ACTRESS:
Will Win- Penelope Cruz
Should Win-Amy Adams
Dark Horse- Amy Adams
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Will Win- MILK
Should Win- IN BRUGES
Dark Horse- WALL E
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Will Win- SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
Should Win- FROST/NIXON
Dark Horse-FROST/NIXON
#30re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/20/09 at 10:17am
"And, before I saw The Wrestler, I never thought I'd root for anyone but Penn to take home the Oscar...I'll be happy for either one of them." Blueroses
Same here! I saw The Wrestler last night, and it was the only nominated film in the Best Picture and acting categories I hadn't seen. I'm now torn between Rourke and Penn.
#31re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/20/09 at 10:34am
BEST PICTURE:
Will Win: SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
Should Win: MILK
BEST DIRECTOR:
Will Win: Danny Boyle, SLUMDG MILLIONAIRE
Should Win: Gus Van Sant, MILK
BEST ACTOR:
Will Win: Sean Penn, MILK
Should Win: Mickey Rourke, THE WRESTLER
BEST ACTRESS:
Will Win: Kate Winslet, THE READER
Should Win: Anne Hathaway, RACHEL GETTING MARRIED
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Will Win: Heath Ledger, THE DARK KNIGHT
Should Win: Robert Downey, Jr., TROPIC THUNDER
BEST ACTRESS:
Will Win: Penélope Cruz, VICKY CRISTINA BARCELONA
Should Win: Penélope Cruz, VICKY CRISTINA BARCELONA
Vita, dulcedo, et spes nostra
Salve, Salve Regina
Ad te clamamus exsules filii Eva
Ad te suspiramus, gementes et flentes
O clemens O pia
#32re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/20/09 at 10:36am
I really, really, really hope Rourke wins. His performance was on the level of Charlize Theron in MONSTER or even Robert DeNiro in RAGING BULL. That rare performance that transcends "performance" and becomes "embodiment." He was just incredible and I don't understand why he's not a lock to win. Penn was fantastic but Rourke was simply incredible and I really hope he wins. It's a haunting, beautifully layered, and sometimes painfully real performance.
And I also hope Davis sneaks in and steals the Supporting Actress Oscar (which she very well might do). The acting in DOUBT was simply astounding and should be awarded in some capacity. I loved Cruz in BARCELONA but Davis made more of an impression on me in her one scene in DOUBT than all of the other nominees in her category. And she was on the screen for...what...ten minutes? Just a wonderful performance in a film with incomparable acting all around.
#33re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/20/09 at 11:26am
Best Picture- will-Slumdog Millionaire
should - (Doubt not nominated)
Best Actor - will - Sean Penn
should - Sean Penn
Best Supporting Actor - will - Heath Ledger
should - Heath Ledger
Best Actress - will - Kate Winslet
should - Kate Winslet
Best Supporting Actres - will - Viola Davis
should - Amy Adams
Best Director - will -Danny Boyle
should - Fincher
Best Original Screenplay - will - Milk
should - no opinion
Best Adapted Screenplay - will-Slumdog Millionaire
should - Doubt
I don't think Slumdog Millionaire should receive any awards, but it probably will get lots of them.
#34re: Oscar Predictions?
Posted: 2/20/09 at 11:31am
BEST PICTURE:
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
My Favorite: Frost/Nixon
BEST DIRECTOR:
Will Win: Danny Boyle
Should Win: Danny Boyle
BEST ACTOR:
Will Win: ?
Should Win: Mickey Rourke AND Sean Penn
BEST ACTRESS:
Will Win: Kate Winslet
Should Win: Kate Winslet
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Will Win: Heath Ledger
Should Win: Heath Ledger
BEST ACTRESS:
Will Win: Penélope Cruz
Should Win: Penélope Cruz
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