2012 Tony Award predictions thread

[boywonder12]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 12:43pm

what's everyone thinking for this year? I haven't seen much this season since I'm several hours from New York, but from what I've read and seen online, this is what I think it could come close down to. The competition is pretty heavy this year, especially in the plays (very, very nice to see), and the handful of musicals vying for their respective spots is going to be very entertaining as well.

"Best Musical"
ONCE
NEWSIES
NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
GHOST

in contention : LEAP OF FAITH

"Best Play"
OTHER DESERT CITIES
CLYBOURNE PARK
PETER AND THE STARCATCHERS
ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS

"Best Revival of a Musical"
EVITA
GODSPELL
JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR
FOLLIES

"Best Revival of a Play"
WIT
DEATH OF A SALESMAN
MASTER CLASS
A STREETCAR NAMED DESIRE

"Best Director of a Musical"
John Tiffany, ONCE
Jeff Calhoun, NEWSIES
Kathleen Marshall, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Michael Grandage, EVITA

in contention : Matthew Warchus, GHOST, Christopher Ashley, LEAP OF FAITH, Des McAnuff, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR

"Best Director of a Play"
Joe Mantello, OTHER DESERT CITIES
Nicholas Hytner, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS
Mike Nichols, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
Daniel Sullivan, THE COLUMNIST

in contention : Roger Rees and Alex Timbers, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER, Walter Bobbie, VENUS IN FUR, Pam McKinnon, CLYBOURNE PARK, John Tillinger, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER

"Best Leading Actress in a Musical"
Elena Roger, EVITA
Kelli O'Hara, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Jan Maxwell, FOLLIES
Audra McDonald, PORGY AND BESS
Bernadette Peters, FOLLIES

in contention : Cristin Milioti, ONCE, Caissie Levy, GHOST, Jessica Phillips, LEAP OF FAITH

"Best Actor in a Musical"
Raul Esparza, LEAP OF FAITH
Steve Kazee, ONCE
Jeremy Jordan, NEWSIES
Matthew Broderick, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Richard Fleeshman, GHOST

in contention : Norm Lewis, PORGY AND BESS, Paul Nolan, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR Josh Young, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR, Jeremy Jordan, BONNIE AND CLYDE

"Best Actress in a Play"
Stockard Channing, OTHER DESERT CITIES
Cynthia Nixon, WIT
Tracie Bennett, END OF THE RAINBOW
Nina Arianda, VENUS IN FUR
Tyne Daly, MASTER CLASS

in contention : Linda Lavin, THE LYONS, Christina Kirk, CLYBOURNE PARK, Crystal A. Dickinson, CLYBOURNE PARK

"Best Actor in a Play"
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
Stacy Keach, OTHER DESERT CITIES
John Lithgow, THE COLUMNIST
Hugh Dancy, VENUS IN FUR
Frank Wood, CLYBOURNE PARK

in contention : Adam Chanler-Berat, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER, Samuel L. Jackson, THE MOUNTAINTOP, Adam James, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER

"Best Featured Actress in a Musical"
Judy Kaye, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Estelle Parsons, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Kendra Kassebaum, LEAP OF FAITH
Kecia Lewis-Evans, LEAP OF FAITH
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, GHOST

in contention : Chilina Kennedy, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR, Rachel Potter, EVITA

"Best Featured Actor in a Musical"
Michael Cerveris, EVITA
Tom Hewitt, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR
Ricky Martin, EVITA
Michael McGrath, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
George Salazar, GODSPELL

in contention : Andrew Keenan-Bolger, NEWSIES, Drew Gehling, ON A CLEAR DAY YOU CAN SEE FOREVER, Bryce Pinkham, GHOST, Bruce Dow, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR

"Best Featured Actress in a Play"
Celia Keenan-Bolger, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER
Rachel Griffiths, OTHER DESERT CITIES
Judith Light, OTHER DESERT CITIES
Linda Emond, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
Jennifer Tilly, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER

in contention : Margaret Colin, THE COLUMNIST, Grace Gummer, THE COLUMNIST

"Best Featured Actor in a Play"
Thomas Sadowski, OTHER DESERT CITIES
Boyd Gaines, THE COLUMNIST
Andrew Garfield, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
Christian Borle, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER
Dick Latessa, THE LYONS

in contention : John Glover, DEATH OF A SALESMAN, Michael Cumpsty, END OF THE RAINBOW, Tom Pelphrey, END OF THE RAINBOW, Stephen Kunken, THE COLUMNIST

"Best Score"
Glen Hansard and Markita Irglova, ONCE
Alan Menken and Glenn Slater, NEWSIES
Alan Menken and Glenn Slater, LEAP OF FAITH
Dave Stewart and Glen Ballard, GHOST

"Best Book"
Enda Walsh, ONCE
Joe DiPietro, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Harvey Fierstein, NEWSIES
Janus Cercone and Warren Leight, LEAP IF FAITH

in contention : Bruce Rubin, GHOST

"Best Choreography"
Kathleen Marshall, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Christopher Gattelli, NEWSIES
Rob Ashford, EVITA
Sergio Trujillo, LEAP OF FAITH

in contention : Ashley Wallen, GHOST, Christopher Gattelli, GODSPELL

"Best Orchestrations"
Martin Lowe, ONCE
Danny Troob, NEWSIES
LEAP OF FAITH
NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT

in contention : GHOST, John McDaniel, BONNIE AND CLYDE

"Best Lighting Design of a Musical"
Natasha Katz, ONCE
Neil Austin, EVITA
Christopher Akerland, PORGY AND BESS
LEAP OF FAITH

"Best Lighting Design of a Play"
Kenneth Posner, OTHER DESERT CITIES
Brian MacDevitt, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
Jeff Croiter, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER
Mark Henderson, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS

in contention : Peter Kaczorowski, VENUS IN FUR, Ken Billington, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER, Brian MacDevitt, CHINGLISH

"Best Costume Design of a Musical"
Martin Pakledinaz, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Paul Tazewell, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR
Christopher Oram, EVITA
LEAP OF FAITH

in contention : FOLLIES, PORGY AND BESS

"Best Costume Design of a Play"
David Zinn, OTHER DESERT CITIES
Paloma Young, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER
Ann Roth, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
William Ivey Long, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER

in contention : Mark Thompson, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS, Anita Yavich, VENUS IN FUR

"Best Scenic Design of a Musical"
Bob Crowley, ONCE
Derek McLane, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Christopher Oram, EVITA
Tom Obst, NEWSIES

in contention : Riccardo Hernandez, PORGY AND BESS, Rob Howell, GHOST, LEAP OF FAITH, Robert Brill, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR, FOLLIES

"Best Scenic Design of a Play"
John Lee Beatty, OTHER DESERT CITIES
Donyale Werle, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER
Jo Mielziner, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
Mark Thompson, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS

in contention : John Lee Beatty, VENUS IN FUR, David Gallo, THE MOUNTAINTOP, David Korins, CHINGLISH, John Lee Beatty, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER

"Best Sound Design of a Musical"
Clive Goodwin, ONCE
Brian Ronan, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
Steve Canyon Kennedy, JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR
Mick Potter, EVITA

in contention : Bobby Aitken, GHOST, ACME Sound Partners, PORGY AND BESS, Andrew Keister, GODSPELL, John Shivers, BONNIE AND CLYDE

"Best Sound Design of a Play"
Scott Lehrer, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
Darron L. West, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER
Dan Moses Schreier, THE MOUNTAINTOP

in contention : OTHER DESERT CITIES, CLYBOURNE PARK, David Van Tiegham, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER, Paul Arditti, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS
ACME Sound Partners, VENUS IN FUR

in contention :

[bwayphreak234]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 1:12pm

I do not think Godspell will be nominated over Porgy and Bess. And I have no idea what the sound or book will be like for Nice Work If You Can Get It since it has not opened yet...

[smallworld]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 1:19pm

I wouldn't forget about "End of the Rainbow" for Best Play. It is truly a stunning piece of theatre.

[boywonder12]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 1:24pm

good point. i must've forgotten to list it up there. i definitely think it's still in the running! excited to hopefully see it

[Michael Bennett]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 1:28pm

I think you are putting a little more faith in GHOST than might be warranted. Also, would be pretty unlikely all the FOLLIES women would be ignored in supporting. If they hype is to believed, ONE MAN TWO GUVNORS will be getting several acting noms.

I believe the entire cast of CLYBOURNE PARK is going to be submitted for supporting and you have a few actors in the wrong catagories (Rachel Griffiths has already been determined to be lead, for example, for OTHER DESERT CITIIES...

[newintown]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 1:30pm

Too early to even guess.

[doodlenyc]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 1:38pm

Somewhat lopsided guesses, but so would mine be, I suppose.

One thing that struck me is that I'm quite sure that Norm Lewis is a lock for the nomination, at least.

I also forsee a few supporting noms for P&B, specifically for NaTasha Yvette Williams and David Alan Grier...not even mentioned as in contention on your list. Grier will certainly be nom'd before anyone from Godspell.

Posted: 3/9/12 at 1:50pm

you, obviously, haven't seen ANYTHING this season. to leave "The Gershwin's Porgy And Bess," Norm Lewis, David Alan Grier, PHILLIP BOYKIN and Natasha Y. Williams off the is proof of that.
Godspell....REALLY??!!??
JCS...It's a joke!!!

[voteforsaraberry]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 2:12pm

I would think Lindsay Mendez would be able to get a supporting actress nom for Godspell. She's amazing in the show.

[Musicaldudepeter]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 2:25pm

I would stick ELAINE PAIGE in Featured actress in a musical for Follies, and bump RICKY MARTIN up to Leading actor in a musical, which would take Richard Fleeshman's place - cause he won't be nominated.

[labwyfan]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 2:27pm

I agree about Mendez. If anyone gets a GODSPELL nom, it should be her. Salazar would be nice too!

[jnb9872]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 3:32pm

MB has a point about GUVNORS... JAMES CORDEN is gonna want to be in your "contention" section at the least if the word is accurate.

[bwaybby]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 3:40pm

boywonder...which of these shows have you seen? Have you seen Evita or Jesus Christ Superstar..Ghost?

[theatreguy]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 3:48pm

What does it matter if anyone has seen them? Isn't part of the fun supposed to be seeing how predictions change as more shows open?

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 3/9/12 at 3:55pm

You left out the Winner of Best Actor in a Musical:
Danny Berstein!

[boywonder12]

Posted: 3/10/12 at 11:52am

I disagree. Almost everything has already played elsewhere, especially with all these London imports, and for the stuff that we have not much idea about, like NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT, we can just take a look at the track records of the team involved (all of which are extremely solid) and that's where I decided to go from.

All in good fun.

[boywonder12]

Posted: 3/10/12 at 11:53am

and thank you, theatreguy, for your comment cause you're exactly right. it's interesting to see what seems to have the most clout prior to opening, and then what actually does.

[Goldenboy2]

Posted: 3/10/12 at 12:40pm

I love these predictions! Don't know how spot on they are but maybe close. Telly Leung and Wallace Smith should be in that list for best featured actor in a musical. One or the other. They kill!

[henrikegerman]

Posted: 3/10/12 at 6:11pm

Venus in Fur!

[henrikegerman]

Posted: 3/11/12 at 12:53am

Someone please explain to me how Brooke Wyeth is a featured role?

[ucjrdude902]

Posted: 3/11/12 at 1:05am

I don't really know anything about Newsies even though I'm hoping to see it but is Andrew Keenan Bolgers role that big that it could be considered feature?

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 3/11/12 at 1:13am

Keenan Bolger's Crutchie is unfortunately underwritten,
instead they added a girl (yuck).
I wanted to see more of Crutchie, Bolger will have to wait for a TONY nom. It would have been fun to see the adorable Keenan-Bolgers nominated in the same season.

[henrikegerman]

Posted: 3/11/12 at 1:27pm

"You left out the Winner of Best Actor in a Musical:
Danny Berstein!"

Absolutely. The best thing about Follies.

[ChildrenwillListen]

Posted: 3/12/12 at 3:12pm

I hope Godspell at least gets a nomination, even if it doesn't win. And Lindsay Mendez deserves a nod as well

[castlestreet]

Posted: 3/12/12 at 11:32pm

Have we gotten a rulling on Ricky yet? Pattinkin won Best Supporting Actor & my guess is he would go in the same category. I know everyone loves Audra- but depending on the reviews- I really think Elena could have a shot- its kind of an iconic role in the musical theatre- time will tell...