I think Mincemeat could potentially recoup given what must be low running costs and its limited run model.
Death Becomes Her has a road to recoup, provided it sustains its grosses the rest of the year, which is far from a sure bet.
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/26/16
I am very confident that Just in Time will recoup. Beyond that, none of them is necessarily a sure thing. I don’t know about Buena Vista Social Club’s costs and budget but I can’t imagine it’s anything too crazy - and the musical keeps making big money, week after week. At some point, that will slow down, but I probably underestimated how much people like the music/the movie.
Maybe Happy Ending has had a steady climb all year and now it’s in great shape for the summer. We’ll see what happens with finding Darren Criss’ replacement but the show has several things going for it: a popular show that’s been crowned Best Musical, and a show that’s both good and likely to be tourist-friendly. It’s got a lot of money to make given the hole it’s still digging out of, but I am cautiously optimistic. I don’t know how long it would take to recoup. The post-Labor Day period will be important.
Death Becomes Her continues to do well despite winning nothing but the design award. It has several things going for it: The show is the star and therefore doesn’t need expensive replacements, it’s a well-liked comedy, and the producers have deep pockets. But how long does it have to keep churning out profits at something approaching these levels?
Operation Mincemeat depends on costs (which presumably are pretty low by current Broadway standards) and whether it can keep sales at around this level. How does its status as a limited run show lower the costs?
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/24/14
I think Death Becomes Her is the one with the harder path to recoup as it costs 30M + the weekly costs are very high, but they are open for almost year and doing good business with an excellent WOM, so why not?
I think BVSC was the sleeper hit of the season, but they found their audience and will recoup.
Just in Time recoups, no dout.
And Maybe Happy Ending has a strong WOM, was doing great numbers before the Tonys, with the amount of love that it got from there, it should recoup.
Operation Mincemeat cost 13M, right? the weekly numbers can't be that high and they are doing good. It's a question mark, but it's possible.
Either way, this scenario is something that I don't quite remember from these 16 years following Broadway.
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/23/17
The weekly operating on MINCEMEAT would surprise some. Don't forget they're paying for housing for an entirely British company, per diems, many flights back and forth for the director and design team, etc.
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