Why, he's the Nick Adams of Hollywood!
And Schmerg, Heath Ledger is the closest thing we have to a "lock" in any category. It's pretty obvious he'll win...Kate Winslet and Slumdog Millionaire are pretty close to a lock, as well. The real suspense is in Director, Actor, and Supporting Actress.
I know the Academy isn't supposed to worry about ratings while voting, but "The Dark Knight" and "WALL-E" were also definitely among the top 5 films of the year (over the mediocre "The Reader" any day) and snubbing them is not just an affront to the public, but reinforcement of the stereotype that the Academy is a smoke-filled room full of old fogies who would rather vote for a teary Holocaust drama where Kate Winslet shows her tits or an optimistic "Bollywood" film that's made by Brits and makes life in Mumbai seem like a rags-to-riches fairy tale than two beautifully crafted movies that changed the pop culture landscape (albeit temporarily) and transcended their own genres. [/minirant]
Formerly SirNotAppearing - Joined 3/08