Musical tony award nominations predictions

I'm curious what you all think will be this year's tony nominees in the musical categories? Out of the following, what do you think will get a nod?

For Best Musical: Curtains, Grey Gardens, High Fidelity, Legally Blonde, Lovemusik, Mary Poppins, The Pirate Queen, Spring Awakening, The Times They Are A'Changin' (or other?)

My prediction: Curtains, Grey Gardens, Lovemusik, and Spring Awakening

For Best Revival: The Apple Tree, Company, A Chorus Line, Les Miserables, 110 In The Shade (or other?)

My prediction: The Apple Tree, Company, A Chorus Line, and Les Miserables

Best Lead Actress: Stephanie J. Block, Ashley Brown, Laura Bell Bundy, Kristin Chenoweth, Audra McDonald, Debra Monk, Donna Murphy (or other?)

My prediction: Block, Chenoweth, McDonald, Monk, Murphy

Best Lead Actor: Michael Cerveris, Gavin Creel, Brian d'Arcy James, Raul Esparza, Hadley Fraser, Jonathon Groff, David Hyde-Pierce, Martin Short (or other?)

My prediction: Cerveris, Esparza, Fraser, Groff, Hyde-Pierce

Best Featured Actress, these are my predictions: Linda Balgord, Charlotte d'Amboise, Lea Michele, Barbara Walsh, Mary Louise Wilson (or other?)

Best Featured Actor (these are my predictions): Michael Berresse, Keith Buterbaugh, Jeff McCarthy, John McMartin, David Pittu (or other?)

Other categories?

Margo-Thanks for pointing that out. Christine Ebersole (knocking on wood as I type this!) is the overwhelming favorite to win best actress in a musical. (Gawd, Ben Brantley is giving glowing reviews of her performance. The Tony is the only award she hasn't won, aside from the Lortel (what were they thinking, anyway?!)!)
My predictions, for the record:
Best Musical: Grey Gardens, Curtains, Spring Awakening, Legally Blonde
Best Actress in a Musical: CHRISTINE EBERSOLE (who will win, I predict), Donna Murphy, Audra McDonald, Kristin Chenoweth, Debra Monk
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Mary-Louise Wilson, Barbara Walsh, Linda Balgord (maybe), Karen Ziemba

Best Featured Actor: John McMartin, John Gallagher, Jr., Michael Barresse, Edward Hibbert

Best Actor in a Musical: Raul Esparza, David Hyde-Pierce, Michael Cerveris, Jonathan Groff, last spot up for grabs

Those are my predictions-Christine should not have been overlooked so in your original post.

---

Raul and Stephanie - great combo.

Everyone keeps saying the Tony is the only award Christine hasn't won. Didn't she win one for 42nd Street though?

---

I saw her in 42nd Street and loved her! And yes, she did win that year.

Thank you! I was very confused as to why everyone kept saying that.

---

Les Miz and A Chorus Line are eligible for the revival Tony and their casts are eligible for the acting categories, but the design elements are not eligible, since they are recreations of work that was Tony-nominated (and in some cases Tony-winning) in their original productions.

---

There are still a couple of shows that have yet to open, so ask me again in a month or so.

---

Hmmmmmmm..............I don't have a clear, unqualified favorite this season, so far. To my eyes (and ears and brain and heart), there were no masterpieces this year -- I see flaws and drawbacks and dead spots and weaknesses (as well as some positives) in all of them, so I don't have a horse in this race and am not rooting for anything. So, for now, I'll just sit back, put out my "gone fishin'" sign and let everyone else fight this one out. And when the whole mess is over with in May and everything's limped into town and opened, I'll sift through the dregs of this season and see if any gold nuggets magically appear in the pan.......

---

Updated On: 3/26/07 at 11:35 PM

Astute observation, that is.

---

Margo, I checked your blog for a review of CURTAINS but didn't see it. Have you reviewed CURTAINS, MARY POPPINS, and SOME MEN yet?

---

Perhaps you will.

---

Hey, well the dregs of this season are already better than the dregs of last season.

---