My (WAY EARLY) Tony Predictions '04-'05....

So, I've been bored today... and when that happens I make myself little assignments (lame... I know). Today I spent my time guessing the tony nominees and winners for '04-'05. This is quite the superfluous task considering half of the shows haven't even opened.

I've done my research, seen some of the shows in "tryouts," and tryed my best making educated guesses. I'm aware of how off I could be, but it was all in fun! So join in and let me know what you think!

(For some catagories I ranked 1-4 of how I think it could go and placed a "*" next to my "winners." Most of this isn't my "wish list," but instead it is my "who I think will win" list.)

Here goes:

Play

Director:

Democracy-2
Gem of the Ocean-4
12 Angry Men-2
*Doubt 1

Supporting Actor:

*Michael Cumpsty (Democracy)
Thomas Sadoski (Reckless)
(Whoever plays Mitch [Streetcar] should get a nod here)

Supporting Actress:

Carla Gugino (After the Fall)
Debra Monk (Reckless)
*Lisa Gay Hamilton (Gem of the Ocean)
(Whoever plays Stella [Streetcar] should get a nod here)

Lead Actor:

Phillip Bosco (12 Angry Men)
*John Earl Jelks (Gem of the Ocean)
James Naughton (Democracy)
Richard Thomas (Democracy)
Brian F O’Bryne (Doubt)

(Possibilities)
Denzel Washington (Caesar) miscast
Ethan Hawke (Glass Menagerie)
John C. Reilly (Streetcar) miscast

Lead Actress:

Mary Louise Parker (I wish…)
Phylicia Rashad
Laura Linney
*Cherry Jones (Doubt)
Natasha Richardson (Streetcar)

Jessica Lange (Glass Menagerie)
Brenda Blethyn

Best Revival:

Glass Menagerie-3
Reckless-2
12 Angry Men-2
*Streetcar-1

(Possibilities)
Julius Caesar
‘Night Mother

Best Play:

Democracy-2
Gem of the Ocean-3
*Doubt-1
Sight Unseen

One Person Shows:

Mario Cantone-2
Whoopi Goldberg-3
*Billy Crystal-1
Eve Ensler-4

Musical

Director:

Pacific Overtures- Amon Miyamoto
Dirty Rotten Scoundrels-Jack O’Brien
The Light in the Piazza-Bartlett Sher
*Spamalot-Mike Nichols (it’s Mike Nichols…)

Supporting Actor:

Gavin Creel
Gregory Jbara
*Hank Azaria
Christopher Sieber
Mark Harelik
(whoever plays Fabrizio in Piazza could get a nod if done right…)


Supporting Actress: (toughest category…)

Sherie Rene Scott- probably closest to beating Kelli
Joanna Gleason- too small?
*Kelli O’hara (Light in the Piazza… not Dracula) This is a great vehicle for her and the largest of roles in this category…
Maureen McGovern- close as well…
(Another Little Women Girl here)

Lead Actor:

Gary Beach
John Lithgow
Norbert Leo Butz-would be nice to see him win…
*Tim Curry (neck in neck)
*David Hyde Pierce (neck in neck)

Lead Actress:

*Victoria Clark (I’m placing all of my money on this win)
Sutton Foster
Ramona Keller
Christina Applegate
Eden Espinosa (though she didn’t do much “acting”)

Best Score:

*The Light in the Piazza (most deserving…)
Dirty Rotten Scoundrels
Spamalot
Little Women

Best Book:

The Light in the Piazza-3
Dirty Rotten Scoundrels-2
*Spamalot-1
Little Women-4

Choreography:

*La Cage-1
All Shook Up-2
Good Vibrations
Dirty Rotten Scoundrels

Orchestrations:

The Light in the Piazza-2
*Dirty Rotten Scoundrels-1
Spamalot
Little Women

Best Revival:

*La Cage-1
Pacific Overtures
Sweet Charity-2

Best Musical: (who knows????)

*The Light in the Piazza (my choice, but not a "touring" vehicle)
Dirty Rotten Scoundrels (very possible)
Spamalot (very possible)
Little Women (longshot)

Updated On: 12/8/04 at 04:39 PM

CapnHook, that's why I put "WAY EARLY" in my subject. Just having some fun...

daniel davis is BRILLIANT in La Cage. outshines even gary beach. heather goldenhersh for doubt will be nominated. m. mcgovern's role is too small and she will not win.

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Nathan Lane will probably place out either Lithgow or Butz in the Lead Actor category. He's definitely a Tony favorite and his performance was well-received.

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By the way, James Naughton, who received mixed to negative reviews for his performance, will probably not be nominated. Also, just so you know, Amy Ryan was recently cast as Stella in "Streetcar" (I also agree that John C. Reilly is completely miscast as Stanley, but would have been a perfect Mitch).

Is Eden listed above the title? If not, do you think the producers will campaign to placed in the lead category?

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Eden should have no problem getting into the lead actress category the issue is if she is going to get a nod...

romona keller is definitely the suporting actress and SHOULD get a tony nom for her part! she definitely helps carry the show..

The frogs will be a revival and Nathan, and roger bart, both deserves nom's the rest of the cast and the rest of the show eh...

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i'm really hoping though that christina applegate wows us in "Sweet Charity". I also realized I listed 6 guys for leading actor, so one of them would have to be bumped out, who it would be, I have no clue

Updated On: 12/9/04 at 03:09 PM

I enjoyed your predictions Bwaydreams. 12 Angry Men will be listed as a revival Sondheimluvchild (love the name btw). That will leave Doubt to win best play... or Democracy

>london shows do NOT do well come tony time even if they are box office successes.<

Whoa, wha...?

What about...

The Real Thing
Art
Copenhagen
Amadeus
Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead
Marat/Sade
The Homecoming
Sleuth
Equus
Travesties
Nicholas Nickleby

All London hits. All Tony Award winners for Best Play.

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Eden Espinosa WILL NOT! be getting a nomination. They dont have a catagory called "Best Screaming "Actress" in a show about Garbadge"

Eden Espinosa WILL NOT! be getting a nomination. They dont have a catagory called "Best Screaming "Actress" in a show about Garbadge"

SH*T sorry everybody I dont know how that happened.

Updated On: 12/9/04 at 03:48 PM