Swing Joined: 5/9/13
Do shows that open in spring and closer to the Tony Awards have a better chance at winning the Best Musical award?
It can't hurt, but if the show is brilliant I don't think it matters.
Featured Actor Joined: 4/19/04
It doesn't so much matter when the show opens, but rather whether or not the show is still open once nominations are announced. It certainly helps if a show is fresh in the mind of the voting committee as opposed to a show that closed 4 months prior.
Actually, for noms, many closed shows have rec'd NOMS, but winning is pretty damn tough if it's closed. So, if a show (brilliant or not) closes before May, it's unlikely to score too many wins.
Great example: The Scottsboro Boys, closed in Dec (if I remember acurately) and rec'd 12 noms, no wins. (It was pretty brillian, IMHO)
But then there's the counterexample of the brilliant production of Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf? from last season that took revival, director, and actor even though it had closed several months before nominations were announced.
I agree though in terms of winning awards it seems that the shows still open after nominations tend to do better, especially since some voters don't see all the shows that close in the fall. A brilliant production will tend to win though even if it closes early.
The Scottsboro Boys may be an exception but it was going against the Mormon behemoth and I sort of doubt it would have won anything even if if was still open.
Avenue Q - opened July 30
Hairspray - opened August 15
Billy Elliot - opened October 1
Spring Awakening - opened December 10
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