Three Myths About Tony Award Voting Article:How Accurate Do You Think This Perspective Is?

They are accurate, if obvious, statements, with exceptions to each rule.

Road vote: if there's a true horserace with two frontrunners in step with each other, I think an argument could be made that the more commercial title wins. Races that come to mind: Kinky Boots/Matilda, Billy Elliot/N2N, In The Heights/Passing Strange, Jersey Boys/Drowsy, Spamalot/Light in the Piazza. (Big exception: Ave Q/Wicked.) The smaller shows that have won were critical darlings, and there was no way Aladdin was beating Gents Guide, or Mean Girls was beating Ban'ds Visit, etc.

Voter attendance: Can't argue with that, but it's also a myth that "voters only see the nominated shows." Don't know any actual numbers, I bet a fall show like like Head Over Heels or Waverly Gallery was still seen by 50-60% of voters by the time they closed. Especially with the new rules, voters don't want to be "caught with their pants down" if a closed show gets a bunch of noms.

Campaigning: Like he says, campaigning is a way to remind people of the work –– but the work has to be good in the first place. A splashy campaign can't turn a "bad" show into a winner. Example: Beetlejuice has never been a frontrunner, and a multimillion dollar campaign to voters wouldn't have changed that.

I think the roadie block still matters. There are roughly 100 of them out of 800 voters. In the examples he gave with Band’s visit winning last year, Nyc based voters may have given 600-700 votes to band’s visit and the roadie block may have gone 100 to Frozen or spongebob. Who knows? We’ll never know how influential the roadie block can be unless the Tony folks publish the % results.
I do know that the roadie block still matters when you see producers catering to them and inviting them to special events during the Tony voting period.