Tony Nominations are Coming...Post Your Predictions

[SirNotAppearing]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 10:54am

Now that a bunch of predix threads will surely be popping up, I decided to make this master thread for everyone to post their predictions. Here's mine:

5 or 4 stars (depending on category)=Likely winner
4 or 3 stars=Maybe an upset?
3 or 2 stars=Probably not, still a chance
2 or 1 stars= Certainly not
1 or no stars=Snowball's chance in hell


Best Musical:
A Catered Affair**
In the Heights****
Passing Strange***
Young Frankenstein*
alt. Xanadu

Best Book:
A Catered Affair**
In the Heights****
Passing Strange*
Xanadu***
alt. Young Frankenstein

Best Score:
Cry-Baby*
In the Heights****
Passing Strange***
Glory Days**
alt. A Catered Affair

Best Director:
Sam Buntrock, Sunday in the Park with George***
Annie Dorsen, Passing Strange*
Thomas Kail, In the Heights**
Bartlett Sher, South Pacific****
alt. Arthur Laurents, Gypsy

Best Revival:
Grease (As much as I hate it, it has to get nominated. Rules don't get bent just because a certain show sucked.)*
Gypsy***
South Pacific****
Sunday in the Park with George**

Best Actor:
Daniel Evans, Sunday in the Park with George**
Lin-Manuel Miranda, In the Heights*****
Stew, Passing Strange****
Paulo Szot, South Pacific***
Tom Wopat, A Catered Affair*
alt. Roger Bart, Young Frankenstein

Best Actress:
Kerry Butler, Xanadu****
Patti Lupone, Gypsy*****
Kelli O' Hara, South Pacific*
Faith Prince, A Catered Affair**
Jenna Russell, Sunday in the Park with George***
alt. Sierra Boggess, The Little Mermaid

Best Featured Actor:
Daniel Breaker, Passing Strange*
Danny Burstein, South Pacific***
Robin DeJesus, In the Heights****
Christopher Fitzgerald, Young Frankenstein**
Boyd Gaines, Gypsy*****
alt. Shuler Hensley, Young Frankenstein or Harvey Fierstein, A Catered Affair

Best Featured Actress:
Olga Merediz, In the Heights*
Laura Benanti, Gypsy*****
Jackie Hoffman OR Mary Testa, Xanadu****
Andrea Martin, Young Frankenstein**
Loretta Ables Sayre (spelled that wrong), South Pacific***
alt. Sutton Foster, Young Frankenstein

Best Choreography
Cry-Baby****
In the Heights***
South Pacific*
Xanadu**

Best Set Design:
The Little Mermaid*
South Pacific**
Sunday in the Park with George***
Young Frankenstein****

Best Orchestrations:
In the Heights**
Passing Strange***
Sunday in the Park with George****
Xanadu*

Best Costume Design:
Gypsy**
South Pacific****
Sunday in the Park with George*
Young Frankenstein***

Best Sound Design:
Passing Strange**
South Pacific****
Sunday in the Park with George***
Young Frankenstein*

Best Lighting Design:
The Little Mermaid*
In the Heights**
South Pacific***
Sunday in the Park with George****

Updated On: 5/5/08 at 10:54 AM

[esparza 333]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 10:59am

Best Musical
Passing Strange
In The Heights
Xanadu
A Catered Affair

Best Actor
Daniel Evans
Cheyenne Jackson
Paulo Szot
Stew
Lin Manuel Miranda

Best Actress
Jenna Russel
Keli O'Hara
Patti Lupone
Sierra Bogess
Kerry Butler

Best Supporting Actor
Danny Burnstein
Daniel Breaker
Robin DeJesus
Boyd Gainz
Harvey Fierstein

Best Supporting Actress
Laura Benanti
Loretta Ables Sayre
Olga Merediz
Mary Testa
Jackie Hoffman

Best Original Score
In the Heights
Passing Strange
Young Frankenstein
Cry Baby

Best Book
Xanadu
In the Heights
Young Frankenstein
Passing Strange

Best Revival
Sunday
South Pacific
Gypsy
Grease?

Best Costume Design
Little Mermaid
South Pacific
Sunday
Young Frankenstein

Best Set Design
Little Mermaid
Young Frankenstein
South Pacific
Sunday

Best Lighting Design
Passing Strange
South Pacific
Sunday
Young Frankenstein

Best Sound Design
In the Heights
Passing Strange
South Pacific
Sunday

Best Choreography
Cry Baby
Young Frankenstein
Grease
In the Heights

Best Director
Bartlett Sher
Sam Buntrock
Annie Dorsen
Thomas Kail


Best Orchestrations
Passing Strange
South Pacific
In the Heights
Sunday

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 11:01am

God, these list threads are so annoying.

Contain your lists into one line.

[iluvtheatertrash]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 1:22pm

Wanna Be, just don't read them. It's very simple.

[luvtheEmcee]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 1:24pm

So the Tonys are musicals-only this year?

Updated On: 5/4/08 at 01:24 PM

[kidmanboy]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 1:43pm

I think that Young Frankenstein has a chance of not being nominated, but I think if it's nominated, it will likely win. I can't picture tony voters voting for Passing Strange or In the Heights over a big classic musical.

[BillyE]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 1:45pm

SirNot, I agree with most of your choices, except I think Kelli O'Hara deserves much more than 1 star. I really enjoyed her performance.
I especially hope Laura Benanti wins it too, and I think that Passing Strange will be a dark horse (so to speak) contender in a lot of categories.

[iluvtheatertrash]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 1:50pm

Emcee, some people don't really see plays, so I think they just don't post their predictions if they haven't seen them, or enough of them, to comment

[Laviebohemeb]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 1:50pm

uuuuuh.... ya. woah esparza 333 has it down!!!!!!!!!!

[luvtheEmcee]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 1:52pm

I wasn't asking that seriously. I know.

Also, since when is Young Frankenstein a "classic musical"? Classic, big Broadway style, maybe, but that show is nowhere near a classic. It's what, barely a year old?

[CapnHook]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 2:01pm

"So the Tonys are musicals-only this year?"

Didn't you get the memo?

[luvtheEmcee]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 2:05pm

Apparently not.

[buddharich]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 2:06pm

I hate Passing Strange and A Catered Affair, but here are my PREDICTIONS:

Best Musical

A Catered Affair
IN THE HEIGHTS (their choice)
Passing Strange
Xanadu (my choice)

Best Revival

Gypsy (my choice)
SOUTH PACIFIC (their choice)
Sunday In The Park With George

Best Book

A Catered Affair
In The Heights
Passing Strange
XANADU (my choice & their choice)

Best Score

A Catered Affair
IN THE HEIGHTS (my choice & their choice)
Passing Strange
Young Frankenstein

Best Lead Actor

DANIEL EVANS, Sunday In The Park With George (my choice & their choice)
Cheyenne Jackson, Xanadu
Lin-Manuel Miranda, In The Heights
Paolo Szot, South Pacific
Tom Wopat, A Catered Affair

Best Lead Actress

Kerry Butler, Xanadu
PATTI LuPONE, Gypsy (my choice & their choice)
Kelli O'Hara, South Pacific
Faith Prince, A Catered Affair
Jenna Russell, Sunday In The Park with George

Best Featured Actor

Daniel Breaker, Passing Strange
Danny Burstein, South Pacific
Robin DeJesus, In The Heights (my choice)
Christopher Fitzgerald, Young Frankenstein
BOYD GAINES, Gypsy (their choice, but I really hope it goes to DeJesus!)

Best Featured Actress

Loretta Ables Sayre, South Pacific
LAURA BENANTI, Gypsy (their choice)
Jackie Hoffman, Xanandu
Olga Merediz, In The Heights (my choice)
Mary Testa, Xanadu

Best Director

Christopher Ashley, Xanadu (my choice)
Sam Buntrock, Sunday In The Park With George
Thomas Kail, In The Heights
BARTLETT SHER, South Pacific (their choice)

Best Choreography

Rob Ashford, Cry-Baby
ANDY BLANKENHUELER, In The Heights (my choice & their choice)
Dan Kechtnegas, Xanadu
Susan Stroman, Young Frankenstein

Best Scenic Design

Gypsy
South Pacific
SUNDAY IN THE PARK WITH GEORGE (my choice & their choice)
Xanadu

Best Lighting Design

In The Heights
Passing Strange
South Pacific
SUNDAY IN THE PARK WITH GEORGE (my choice & their choice)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Gypsy
South Pacific
SUNDAY IN THE PARK WITH GEORGE (my choice & their choice)
Xanadu

Best Sound Design

Passing Strange
SOUTH PACIFIC (their choice)
Sunday In The Park With George
Xanadu (my choice)

Best Orchestrations (note: Gypsy & South Pacific ineligible)

In The Heights
Passing Strange
SUNDAY IN THE PARK WITH GEORGE (their choice)
Xanadu (my choice)

I think the Featured Actress in a musical category is the most crowded with worthy nominees; some of whom will have to be snubbed...

[blaxx]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 2:09pm

You left Grease out.

[MungoGypsy8232]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 2:26pm

While Grease will probably be nominated, they don't need to nominate it. Isn't there a rule that states 75% of the revivals need to be nominated or something like that?

[blaxx]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 2:46pm

They have to fill the spot.

[SirNotAppearing]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 2:48pm

Well, just so you guys know, I posted PREDICTIONS, not my dream ballot. My dream ballot would probably involve Sutton Foster winning every award.

And no, I believe the rule is that if there are just enough revivals to fill the category, they all have to be nominated.

I can't see YF winning in any situation, but I'm detecting a lot of backlash towards Passing Strange.

[sally1112]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 2:54pm

Those wanting to post/discuss play predictions...go ahead. This is the thread.

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 4:03pm

I think GLORY DAYS is going to take the 4th Best Score slot.

I can't see the Nominating Committee passing up the chance to give a single nod to these up and coming composers over more Mel Brooks or half a new Disney score.

[TomMonster]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 4:20pm

Revival only needs to fill 3 slots, I believe.

So no Grease, I assume!

[kidmanboy]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 5:45pm

Emcee,

I meant classic as in large cast, traditional broadway music, and pretty dancing.

I didn't like it much at all. And no, I don't think it will stand the test of time. But I think road producers will see a crowd-pleasing touring show.

[musicalmaster703]

Posted: 5/4/08 at 5:48pm

Rooting for

Best Musical: In The Heights
Best Revival: South Pacific

Best 2 productions I have seen in my life!