I completely agree, Ashley.
Erin Davie definitely deserves a nom for her role in GREY GARDENS. She perfectly channels that character, and Davie's performance rounds out Ebersole's starring role wonderfully. You can totally see how Davie's character evolves (sadly) into Ebersole's 2nd act role.
Add to that her terrific musicianship. If you've listened to the new GG recording, she is dead-on perfect for that period. Her "Mother Darling" and, in particular, "Daddy's Girl" are standouts.
Davie was wonderfully cast and should be on the short list of Featured Actresses, along with Mary Louise Wilson (who seems to be a lock anyway).
I fear that other performers may knock Davie out of the running because voters may see her as just another ingenue, but there are nuances to her character that should not be overlooked.
If Charlotte D'Amboise gets a nod over Davie, it will be yet another Tony Award injustice.
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