As much as I enjoy Erin Davie's performance, I find it highly unlikely she will be nominated. Mary Louise will be nominated, and I think, win.
That said, there is a glut of candidates for both leading and featured actress this year. From what I understand, Debra Monk may be considered featured, as they haven't ruled on her show yet. THat would probably knock Erin Davie out of the running altogether. Also, D'Amboise, as noted above, is very popular. I saw her in ACL, and didn't think she was as good as Erin Davie at all. But, I'm not on the nominating committee.
I think, if Monk is placed in leading, these are the featured actress nominees:
Karen Ziemba
Mary Louise Wilson
Charlotte D'Amboise or possibly one of the SA girls-Lauren Pritchard
Orfeh
"A birdcage I plan to hang. I'll get to that someday. A birdcage for a bird who flew away...Around the world."
"Life is a cabaret old chum, only a cabaret old chum, and I love a cabaret!"-RIP Natasha Richardson-I was honored to have witnessed her performance as Sally Bowles.