I think it has a good chance of winning lighting, and possibly orchestrations or sound design. I think it is unlikely to win in any of its other categories:
Musical, book, score, director will go to Mormon
Choreography to Anything Goes
Not likely to win any of the 3 acting noms, set design
"What was the name of that cheese that I like?"
"you can't run away forever...but there's nothing wrong with getting a good head start"
"well I hope and I pray, that maybe someday, you'll walk in the room with my heart"