Now that we've had time to digest and contemplate the 07 Nominees, and since the ceremony is a little over a week away, it seems time for those final predictions from all of we prognosticators. Here are my picks on who I think WILL win and walk away with a Tony on June 10th. What are yours?
Best Play
The Coast of Utopia
Best Musical
Spring Awakening
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical
David Pittu, LoveMusik
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical
Mary Louise Wilson, Grey Gardens
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play
Billy Crudup, The Coast of Utopia
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play
Martha Plimpton, The Coast of Utopia
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical
Michael Cerveris, LoveMusik
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical
Christine Ebersole, Grey Gardens
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play
Julie White, Little Dog Laughed
Best Book of a Musical
Spring Awakening
Best Original Score
Spring Awakening
Music: Duncan Sheik
Lyrics: Steven Sater
Best Revival of a Play
Jouney's End
Best Revival of a Musical
Company
Best Special Theatrical Event
Kiki & Herb Alive on Broadway
Best Direction of a Play
Jack O'Brien, The Coast of Utopia
Best Direction of a Musical
Michael Mayer, Spring Awakening
Best Choreography
Matthew Bourne and Stephen Mear, Mary Poppins
Best Orchestrations
Jonathan Tunick, LoveMusik
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Bob Crowley & Scott Pask, The Coast of Utopia
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Bob Crowley, Mary Poppins
Best Costume Design of a Play
Catherine Zuber, The Coast of Utopia
Best Costume Design of a Musical
William Ivey Long, Grey Gardens
Best Lighting Design of a Play
Brian MacDevitt, Kenneth Posner, and Natasha Katz, The Coast of Utopia
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, Spring Awakening
Updated On: 6/9/07 at 02:28 PM
Here goes-Follies-you did pretty well, I think:
Best Musical:
Spring Awakening
Best Play:
Coast of Utopia
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Mary Louise Wilson, Grey Gardens
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Either David Pittu, LoveMusik or Jonathan Gallagher, Spring Awakening
Best Actress in a Musical: Christine Ebersole, Grey Gardens
Best Direction of a Musical: Michael Mayer, Spring Awakening
Best Direction of a Play: Jack O'Brien, the Coast of Utopia
Best Book of a Musical: Doug Wright, Grey Gardens
Best Score of a Musical: Duncan Sheik and Steven Sater, Spring Awakening
Best Revival of a Play: Journey's End
Best Revival of a Musical: A Chorus Line
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Angela Lansbury, Deuce or Eve Best, A Moon for the Misbegotten
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Billy Crudup, Coast of Utopia
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Jennifer Ehle, Coast of Utopia
Best Choreography
Matthew Bourne and Stephen Mear, Mary Poppins
Best Orchestrations
Jonathan Tunick, LoveMusik (probably-but Bruce Coughlin, Grey Gardens, could take it, IMO)
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Bob Crowley & Scott Pask, The Coast of Utopia
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Bob Crowley, Mary Poppins
Best Costume Design of a Play
Catherine Zuber, The Coast of Utopia
Best Costume Design of a Musical
William Ivey Long, Grey Gardens
Best Lighting Design of a Play
Brian MacDevitt, Kenneth Posner, and Natasha Katz, The Coast of Utopia
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, Spring Awakening
Only disagree on two.....
Best Revival of a Musical
Company
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical
Raul Esparza, Company
Updated On: 5/31/07 at 03:11 PM
Agree for the most part--we'll diverge on
Musical-Grey Gardens/Spring...not sure which cult will prevail
Actor in a Musical-Raul
Actress in a Play-Angela or Julie
Musical Revival-Company
Jay Johnson for Event
Bill T for Choreo
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/11/04
Best Musical:
Spring Awakening or Grey Gardens(but I'm pulling for Spring Awakening)
Best Revival of a musical:
Company
Best Leading Actor in a Musical:
Raul Esparza, Company
Best Feaured Actor in A Musical:
John Gallagher Jr, Spring Awakening
Best Score:
Duncan Sheik and Steven Sater, Spring Awakening
Best Direction:
Michael Mayer, Spring Awakening
A selected few predictions. I'm lazy.
Play - Utopia
Musical - Spring Awakening
Featured Actress, Musical - Mary Louise Wilson
Featured Actress, Play - Martha Plimpton
Lead Actor, Musical - Raúl. Raúl. Raúl. Maybe if I say it enough times, it'll come true.
Lead Actress, Musical - Christine Ebersole
Book - Grey Gardens
Score - Spring Awakening
Revival, Play - Journey's End
Revival, Musical - I... really don't know. 110 or Company, most likely. The others are fillers.
Direction, Play - Jack O'Brien, Utopia
Direction, Musical - Michael Mayer, Spring Awakening (Bleh.)
Choreography - Rob Ashford, Curtains
Orchestrations - Spring Awakening
Set Design, Play - Utopia
Set Design, Musical - Mary Poppins
Lighting, Musical - Spring Awakening
Don't get me wrong, I think Raul is doing a great job in Company. I just think Michael is giving a stronger and much more intricate performance.
I would be THRILLED THRILLED THRILLED if COMPANY won best Revival, I liked ACL a lot, but LOVED CO. I just don't see it taking the award though. SS doesn't have the best track record in the world winning Tony's (although he did win Score for CO. for the original production.) The loss of ST last year was quite a surprise to most, losing to the Flashier THE PAJAMA GAME. SO many SS productions have been nominated in the category in recent years and lost to more traditional fare.
(FOLLIES losing to 42nd Street, PACIFIC OVERTURES losing to La Cage Aux Folles, SWEENEY TODD losing to the Pajama Game, INTO THE WOODS besting only Oklahoma!, ASSASSINS taking out Wonderful Town/Big River/Fiddler, COMPANY & FORUM losing to King & I, GYPSY losing to Nine )
SS revivals have only won twice since this award started in 1994. 6 different shows have lost 5 times. Chances just dont look good, though I could hope this would be a year they would prevail.
Updated On: 5/31/07 at 03:37 PM
I should probably have included that I haven't seen LoveMusik yet. I'm going in a couple of weeks, but even if I had, unless he TRULY blew my mind, I'd still be rooting for Raúl this time around. He's giving one of the most breathtaking performances I have ever seen, loyalty or not. I really don't know what I think is going to happen - at this point, I'd call it more a hope than a prediction.
I loved ACL. My issue with it winning is that... I think revivals should be rewarded for doing more than just being back. ACL could certainly win simply because people adore the show so much, but I think the revival that wins the Tony should be a different take on the show, or a production that brings something fresh to the material. It's got to be more than just a spectacular return of a beloved show. The Apple Tree wasn't as well-received as was 110, which is why I think it's probably a contest between 110 and Company. I certainly hope people find it in their hearts to vote for Company, though.
I tend to agree with you on what the Tony Revival category should mean. Tony Voters don't always go that route though. Pajama Game, La Cage, and The King & I are classic examples.
Right. Classic case of what it should be versus what it is.
Best Play
The Coast of Utopia
Best Musical
Mary Poppins
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical
John Gallagher, Spring Awakening
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical
Mary Louise Wilson, Grey Gardens
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical
Raul Esparza, Company
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical
Christine Ebersole, Grey Gardens
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play
Eve Best, A Moon for the Misbegotten
Best Book of a Musical
Grey Gardens, Doug Wright
Best Original Score
Spring Awakening
Best Revival of a Play
Jouney's End
Best Revival of a Musical
Company
Best Special Theatrical Event
Kiki & Herb Alive on Broadway
Best Direction of a Play
Jack O'Brien, The Coast of Utopia
Best Direction of a Musical
Michael Mayer, Spring Awakening
Best Choreography
Jerry Mitchell, Legally Blonde
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Bob Crowley, Mary Poppins
Best Costume Design of a Musical
Gregg Barnes, Legally Blonde
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, Spring Awakening
Yeah, I'm seeing a distinct lack of Julie White here.
Cerveris may very well be better, LaCage, but he DID just win and I think the Bway community is dying to give Raul a Tony too--I mean they nommed him for TABOO! And he's playing a classic role, which I do think gives him an edge.
And I think COMPANY has the best shot since SWEENEY lost last year--the Doyle fans can have their revenge! Plus, they had good reviews--better than the other revivals...
Well, the Doyle fans with votes can have their revenge, or the likely higher number of people on the "ew, Doyle!" bandwagon can vote for other shows again. It could go either way.
Best Musical - Spring Awakening
Best Book of a Musical - Doug Wright, Grey Gardens
Best Score of a Musical - Music: Duncan Sheik, Lyrics: Steven Sater, Spring Awakening
Best Play - The Coast of Utopia
Best Revival of a Musical - A Chorus Line
Best Revival of a Play - Inherit the Wind
Best Actor in a Musical - Raul Esparza, Company
Best Actress in a Musical - Christine Ebersole, Grey Gardens
Best Featured Actor in a Musical - John Gallagher, Jr., Spring Awakening
Best Featured Actress in a Musical - Charlotte d'Amboise, A Chorus Line
Best Actor in a Play - Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Best Actress in a Play - Angela Lansbury, Deuce
Best Featured Actor in a Play - Billy Crudup, The Coast of Utopia
Best Featured Actress in a Play - Jennifer Ehle, The Coast of Utopia
Best Direction of a Musical - Michael Mayer, Spring Awakening
Best Direction of a Play - Jack O'Brien, The Coast of Utopia
Best Special Theatrical Event - Jay Johnson: The Two and Only!
Best Choreography - Matthew Bourne, Stephen Mear, Mary Poppins
Best Orchestrations - Duncan Sheik, Spring Awakening
Best Scenic Design of a Musical - Anna Louizos, High Fidelity
Best Scenic Design of a Play - Bob Crowley, Scott Pask, The Coast of Utopia
Best Costume Design of a Musical - Gregg Barnes, Legally Blonde The Musical
Best Costume Design of a Play - Catherine Zuber, The Coast of Utopia
Best Lighting Design of a Musical - Kevin Adams, Spring Awakening
Best Lighting Design of a Play - Brian MacDevitt, Kenneth Posner, Natasha Katz, The Coast of Utopia
Chorus Member Joined: 5/26/07
Mine:
Musical - Spring Awakening (unfortunately)
Actress - Christine Ebersole
Actor - Raul Esparza
True, luv, but the Doyle detractors will split their votes amongst the other shows...hopefully. And I'm sure Sondheim factor can pull some votes too--but ya nevah know.
*= Will win
+= Should win
BEST PLAY
The Coast of Utopia, Author: Tom Stoppard*
Frost/Nixon, Author: Peter Morgan+
The Little Dog Laughed, Author: Douglas Carter Beane
Radio Golf, Author: August Wilson
BEST MUSICAL
Curtains
Grey Gardens+
Mary Poppins
Spring Awakening*
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Inherit the Wind
Journey's End*+
Talk Radio
Translations
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Curtains, Rupert Holmes & Peter Stone
Grey Gardens, Doug Wright*+
Legally Blonde The Musical, Heather Hach
Spring Awakening, Steven Sater
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Curtains, Music: John Kander Lyrics: Fred Ebb, John Kander & Rupert Holmes
Grey Gardens, Music: Scott Frankel Lyrics: Michael Korie+
Legally Blonde The Musical, Music & Lyrics: Laurence O’Keefe and Nell Benjamin
Spring Awakening, Music: Duncan Sheik Lyrics: Steven Sater*
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
The Apple Tree
A Chorus Line*
Company+
110 in the Shade
BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
John Doyle, Company
Scott Ellis, Curtains
Michael Greif, Grey Gardens+
Michael Mayer, Spring Awakening*
BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY
Michael Grandage, Frost/Nixon
David Grindley, Journey's End
Jack O'Brien, The Coast of Utopia*+
Melly Still, Coram Boy
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY
Boyd Gaines, Journey's End
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon*+
Brían F. O’Byrne, The Coast of Utopia
Christopher Plummer, Inherit the Wind
Liev Schreiber, Talk Radio
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Eve Best, A Moon for the Misbegotten
Swoozie Kurtz, Heartbreak House
Angela Lansbury, Deuce*+
Vanessa Redgrave, The Year of Magical Thinking
Julie White, The Little Dog Laughed
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Michael Cerveris, LoveMusik+
Raúl Esparza, Company*
Jonathan Groff, Spring Awakening
Gavin Lee, Mary Poppins
David Hyde Pierce, Curtains
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Laura Bell Bundy, Legally Blonde The Musical
Christine Ebersole, Grey Gardens*+
Audra McDonald, 110 in the Shade
Debra Monk, Curtains
Donna Murphy, LoveMusik
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Brooks Ashmanskas, Martin Short: Fame Becomes Me
Christian Borle, Legally Blonde The Musical
John Cullum, 110 in the Shade+
John Gallagher, Jr., Spring Awakening
David Pittu, LoveMusik*
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Charlotte d’Amboise, A Chorus Line
Rebecca Luker, Mary Poppins
Orfeh, Legally Blonde The Musical
Mary Louise Wilson, Grey Gardens*+
Karen Ziemba, Curtains
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Jennifer Ehle, The Coast of Utopia+
Xanthe Elbrick, Coram Boy
Dana Ivey, Butley*
Jan Maxwell, Coram Boy
Martha Plimpton, The Coast of Utopia
BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Anthony Chisholm, Radio Golf
Billy Crudup, The Coast of Utopia*+
Ethan Hawke, The Coast of Utopia
John Earl Jelks, Radio Golf
Stark Sands, Journey's End
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Rob Ashford, Curtains+
Matthew Bourne and Stephen Mear, Mary Poppins*
Bill T. Jones, Spring Awakening
Jerry Mitchell, Legally Blonde The Musical
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
Bruce Coughlin, Grey Gardens+
Duncan Sheik, Spring Awakening
Jonathan Tunick, LoveMusik*
Jonathan Tunick, 110 in the Shade
BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY
Bob Crowley & Scott Pask, The Coast of Utopia*+
Jonathan Fensom, Journey's End
David Gallo, Radio Golf
Ti Green and Melly Still, Coram Boy
BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Bob Crowley, Mary Poppins*
Christine Jones, Spring Awakening
Anna Louizos, High Fidelity
Allen Moyer, Grey Gardens+
BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY
Ti Green and Melly Still, Coram Boy
Jane Greenwood, Heartbreak House
Santo Loquasto, Inherit the Wind
Catherine Zuber, The Coast of Utopia*+
BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Gregg Barnes, Legally Blonde The Musical
Bob Crowley, Mary Poppins
Susan Hilferty, Spring Awakening
William Ivey Long, Grey Gardens*+
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY
Paule Constable, Coram Boy
Brian MacDevitt, Inherit the Wind
Brian MacDevitt, Kenneth Posner, and Natasha Katz, The Coast of Utopia*+
Jason Taylor, Journey's End
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Kevin Adams, Spring Awakening*
Christopher Akerlind 110 in the Shade
Howard Harrison, Mary Poppins
Peter Kaczorowski, Grey Gardens+
BEST SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT
Jay Johnson: The Two and Only*+
Kiki & Herb Alive on Broadway
There is a strong possibility of Korie and Frankel winning best score. Lyrics count too and Spring Awakeing has awful lyrics (not to mention terrible music, but I'm in a minority there).
Re: Those unlucky Sondheim revivals.
If Company loses, I believe that Sunday in the Park with George or the possible Follies (yeah, like that'll happen) will win next year. The new Sunday... is too brilliant to ignore!
Updated On: 5/31/07 at 06:59 PM
EVIDENCE #1
EVIDENCE #2
http://www.broadway.com/gen/Buzz_Video.aspx?ci=540713
BEST MUSICAL
Will Win: SPRING AWAKENING
Should Win: GREY GARDENS
BEST PLAY
Will Win: THE COAST OF UTOPIA
Should Win: THE COAST OF UTOPIA
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Will Win: 110 IN THE SHADE
Should Win: COMPANY
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Will Win: JOURNEY'S END
Should Win: JOURNEY'S END
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Will Win: CURTAINS
Should Win: CURTAINS
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Will Win: SPRING AWAKENING
Should Win: SPRING AWAKENING
BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Will Win: Raul Esparza
Should Win: Raul Esparza
BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Will Win: Christine Ebersole
Should Win: Christine Ebersole
BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Will Win: Christian Borle
Should Win: David Pittu
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Will Win: Mary Louise Wilson
Should Win: Mary Louise Wilson
- More Later -
Best Play
The Coast of Utopia
Best Musical
Grey Gardens
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical
Christian Borle, Legally Blonde
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical
Mary Louise Wilson, Grey Gardens
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play
Billy Crudup, The Coast of Utopia
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play
Martha Plimpton, The Coast of Utopia
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical
Raul Esparza, Company
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical
Christine Ebersole, Grey Gardens
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play
Julie White, Little Dog Laughed
Best Book of a Musical
Grey Gardens, Doug Wright
Best Original Score
Spring Awakening
Music: Duncan Sheik
Lyrics: Steven Sater
Best Revival of a Play
Jouney's End
Best Revival of a Musical
A Chorus Line
Best Special Theatrical Event
Kiki & Herb Alive on Broadway
Best Direction of a Play
Jack O'Brien, The Coast of Utopia
Best Direction of a Musical
Michael Mayer, Spring Awakening
Best Choreography
Jerry Mitchell, Legally Blonde
Best Orchestrations
Duncan Sheik, Spring Awakening
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Bob Crowley & Scott Pask, The Coast of Utopia
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Bob Crowley, Mary Poppins
Best Costume Design of a Play
Catherine Zuber, The Coast of Utopia
Best Costume Design of a Musical
William Ivey Long, Grey Gardens
Best Lighting Design of a Play
Brian MacDevitt, Kenneth Posner, and Natasha Katz, The Coast of Utopia
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, Spring Awakening
woops double post
Broadway Star Joined: 4/6/06
The revival of Pajama Game was changed though, book revisions etc, whereas A Chorus Line didn't change anything! I hope Company wins the Tony. Have many shows won the Outer Critics, Drama League and Drama Desks and not won the Tony? Does it happen often?
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/20/04
Best Musical:
Grey Gardens and Spring Awakening will split the vote, leaving it open for Mary Poppins to fly in and take it home. Curtains has a very small chance, but if GG and SA split, and the voters really hated Poppins, Curtains could come out on top. In an extreme case, of course.
Best Play:
Coast of Utopia is the obvious choice, but Radio Golf winning would be a fitting send off for August Wilson. Both Little Dog Laughed and Frost/Nixon rely too heavily on performances to sell the piece.
Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
If Christine Ebersole wins best actress, the chances of Wilson winning decrease (in a "share the wealth" kind of thing.) It wouldn't be surprise me if Charlotte d'Amboise wins, for her years of service to Broadway, even though Wilson deserves it.
Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Both David Pittu and John Gallagher are giving two of the most nuanced performances of the season. Either of them winning would make me happy.
Best Actress in a Musical:
Christine. Ebersole.
Best Direction of a Musical:
Michael Mayer - his spirited direction of Spring Awakening assures him of the trophy (not to mention he's won everything leading up to this).
Best Direction of a Play:
Jack O'Brien. Anyone who can direct 9 hours of Stoppard, 40 actors, and make it look like cake has my vote.
Best Book of a Musical:
Rupert Holmes and Peter Stone for Curtains. It's the only fully original book of the season. Who cares if it's a bit plot-heavy? Plus, a fitting tribute for Stone.
Best Score of a Musical:
Duncan Sheik and Steven Sater have created one of the most enjoyable scores of the season, despite the boy/girl band sound and ramptant usage of false rhymes. Kander and Ebb could win, if the committe wants to honor one of the best teams in the biz.
Best Revival of a Play:
Journey's End. One word: Kaboom.
Best Revival of a Musical:
Company. To make up for the Sweeney Todd snub last year.
Best Leading Actress in a Play:
Julie White, who had every single audience choking from laughter. Drama isn't Lansbury's milieu and Cherry Jones' Josie is too fresh in the memory of the voters for Best to win.
Best Leading Actor in a Play:
Frank Langella. That phone call seals the deal.
Best Featured Actor in a Play:
Anthony. Chisholm.
Best Featured Actress in a Play:
Jennifer Ehle, in three difficult parts, all of which are done with ease.
Best Choreography
Matthew Bourne and Stephen Mear could steal it from Bill Jones' controlled chaos.
Best Orchestrations
Jonathan Tunick for LoveMusik. If he had a baseball card, it would go under the "career highlights" section.
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Bob Crowley & Scott Pask.
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Bob Crowley, Mary Poppins. What can't he do?
Best Costume Design of a Play
Catherine Zuber, The Coast of Utopia
Best Costume Design of a Musical
Legally Blonde.
Best Lighting Design of a Play
Brian MacDevitt, Kenneth Posner, and Natasha Katz, The Coast of Utopia
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, Spring Awakening
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/27/07
Bob Crowley, Mary Poppins. What can't he do?
Direct Tarzan.
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