Who do you think is going to win "Best Supporting Actress" at the Academy Awards this year?

[MTVMANN]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:22pm

Who do you think is going to win "Best Supporting Actress" at the Academy Awards this year?
IMO, I think this is the one acting category where I think there could be some suprises. So who do you think will take home the prize:
ACTRESS -- SUPPORTING
Cate Blanchett - I’M NOT THERE
Ruby Dee - AMERICAN GANGSTER
Saoirse Ronan - ATONEMENT
Amy Ryan - GONE BABY GONE
Tilda Swinton - MICHAEL CLAYTON

Blanchett won the Golden Globe, Dee won the SAG and Swinton won the BAFTA. I think the only one you can count out is Ronan.
Anyways, Who do you think will win (and you want to win?)?

[SueleenGay]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:32pm

I think it will be Ruby Dee.

If I were Amy Ryan I would hope to lose. Actresses of that age who win seem to have trouble building on the hype and continuing with a good career. Yes, they work, but few parlay it into A-list roles. Sorvino, Basinger, Tomei,Connelly, Hardin,Weisz, Zeta-Jones...what have they done that is substantial since winning? (Let's not even talk about Cuba Gooding on the men's side.)

[lildogs]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:33pm

I wouldn't count out anyone in this wacky category--that being said, my money is on RUBY DEE.

[tazber]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:35pm

I'm going along with everyone else and calling Ruby.

[StageManager2]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:35pm

Yeah, Ruby Dee seems to be the sentimental favorite.

[mateo]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:36pm

and she's old.

[StageManager2]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:40pm

So what? That didn't guarantee Gloria Stuart the Oscar.

[lildogs]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:40pm

And she's a social and artistic legend...and she's never been nommed before.

I think Ryan could have won, but the momentum has not been hers

Blanchett would win had she not just won for playing another real person

Swinton does have a shot in the Gay Harden mold

The little girl has a shot too--but I think Ruby's got it

[mateo]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:41pm

In general the award goes to a nominated veteran.

[SueleenGay]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:41pm

"and she's old."
"So what? That didn't guarantee Gloria Stuart the Oscar."

Hell, that didn't even get Marc Shaiman a nomination!






















(I KID! )

Updated On: 2/12/08 at 04:41 PM

[mateo]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:42pm

lol

[lildogs]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:43pm

True, SM2, but Gloria Stuart doesn't have the same name recognition as Ruby--and Ruby has been steadily working since the 60s--she's part of Spike Lee's resident troupe, which like him or not, puts her in a special category of actors.

[Mrs Mangel]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:44pm

I'm thinking if they give best actress to Christie, they won't give supporting to Dee. Too much age in the room. I'm going with the little girl from "Atonement", just as the nod to its one and only acting nomination.

[MTVMANN]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:44pm

Call me crazy, but I would take an Oscar and have a career that doesn't follow the hype, than the opposite of that.

[SueleenGay]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:46pm

Okay, you are crazy.

[MTVMANN]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:47pm

But my Obituary will list me as "Academy Award Winner" :)

[lildogs]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:49pm

"This may just be a personal thing, but for ME, dropping dead would be the greater disappointment."

[SueleenGay]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:53pm

"But my Obituary will list me as "Academy Award Winner" :)"

"...whose career sank into oblivion within a year after winning the SUPPORTING actor award, like so many forgotten stars before him..."

[Jane2]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:54pm

The only ones I've seen are Cate Blanchett and Ssaoirse, neither for me was an oscar worthy performance, especially Blanchett's.

I hope Ruby Dee gets it, she has some body of work.

[Roscoe]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 4:58pm

You can't really go by any of the usual rules. The Old Codger Rule doesn't really apply in the Supporting Actress category, as Lauren Bacall and Gloria Stuart and Vanessa Redgrave found out. I don't know who is going to win, and I'm just not really all that interested, the nominated performances I've seen made no impression on me at all.

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 5:02pm

It's really up for grabs, unfortunately, it seems like Ryan's moment has passed which is a shame because she has been doing consistently good work for a long time and did beautiful work in GONE BABY GONE.
I'm so over Blanchett after all the pretentious bad movies she did this year, but the Academy isn't, so I wouldn't count her out.
Ruby Dee may end up taking this one home, especially if Marion Cotillard surprises with a win--extremely unlikely but we'll see.
I thought Ronan was great and Oscars do love recognizing their little girls in this category.
Swinton could end up be the biggest surprise in a rather dull Oscar race (what with the three other acting categories set in stone already).
Oh, and Marissa Tomei may not have gone on to become a B.O star but she has done awesome work after her Oscar-winning role. She should have won the Oscar for her haunting performance in IN THE BEDROOM (for which she was nominated), and should have been nominated for last year's BEFORE THE DEVIL KNOWS YOU'RE DEAD.

Updated On: 2/12/08 at 05:02 PM

[SueleenGay]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 5:09pm

I highly doubt each voter thinks, "Gee, I could vote for Julie, but then I had better vote for a younger person in the other categories." It is not a group decision to vote for one older vet and a newcomer. I would not be suprised to see both Christy and Dee win.

[MTVMANN]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 5:12pm

Agreed.

[nmartin]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 5:26pm

"Ruby Dee has some body of work."

Which contains very little of value. Most of it is tv with such "impressive" credits as The Guiding Light and Touched by an Angel.

Edit: And one of the worst performances I've ever seen, her Mary Tyrone in Long Day's Journery Into Night. Just awful. Updated On: 2/12/08 at 05:26 PM

[StickToPriest]

Posted: 2/12/08 at 5:59pm

"I'm thinking if they give best actress to Christie, they won't give supporting to Dee. Too much age in the room"

I never understand arguments like this. I really doubt most Academy voters think like that, saying, "Well, I already voted for an old person in that category, so I've got to average out the age with this category."