2007 Leading Actor in a Musical Tony Nominee Contenders

It may be wishful thinking, but Brian d'Arcy James never disappoints. = ]

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I think Patrick Page may have a chance, but not a big one.

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Kudisch will be featured. His role is by far the smallest of the 3 leads in Apple Tree.

I have a feeling that Company will not do well, and so Raul wont have any nomination, I would be suprised if it stays open untill the Tony's

Horton, obviously you haven't read the reviews of COMPANY from out of town. It received favorable reviews, with Raul getting across the board RAVES. He *is* the front-runner in this category, and he will WITHOUT A DOUBT receive a nomination, and most likely win.

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Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe when I walked past The Apple Tree poster the other day that Kudisch was above the title. The only one listed below was Walter Charles. The producers could request for him to be Featured, but the poster I saw definitley had him over the title.

Raul Esparza
David Hyde Pierce
Brian D'Arcy James
Michael Cerveris
Gavin Lee

Sorry to Les Mis but I don't think the show will fare well at the tonys. I have to predict that Raul will take the tony.

Lets look at the last John Doyl Smash, people loved it, got great reviews, where is it now? Where are its TONY's?

Lets look at the last John Doyl Smash, people loved it, got great reviews, where is it now? Where are its TONY's?

One of its Tonys is with director John Doyle. Its other Tony is with orchestrator Sarah Travis.

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Updated On: 11/19/06 at 10:55 AM

I don't really care that much about this and I'm amazed that others do, but it can be fun to speculate.

I do wonder what political factors you think are going to line up in Esparza's favor, luvtheEmcee. He didn't get nominated for Chitty.

I think it's worth noting, as I'm sure you're all aware, that no performer from Doyle's Sweeney won.

I do think that Esparza will probably be nominated, but I think it's way premature to think that he is somehow the front-runner or a shoo-in. Even if he had no strong competition that we knew of yet, it would be premature. But knowing that he will have at least two strong competitors . . . well, I hope there aren't mass suicides among the Raulites if he doesn't win.

Patrick Page is eligible, but seeing that his show will have been closed for five months, I doubt he will receive a nomination.

Nobodyhome, I think there are a few; if Cerveris gets nominated, that's one, because they were up against each other just a few years ago and Cerveris won. Even without Cerveris, though, the notion that he "deserved to win" back then might come back, if people feel that way. Contrary to what you said, I'd assume there's something underlying in the fact that none of Doyle's actors got awards last year, which could possibly work in his favor if the powers that be feel they should strongly consider one this year. I've said this before, but I think putting him above the title almost assumes success come Tony time, but I also think the strategy could work both ways. I don't think this is comparable to Chitty in several ways, not the least of which is that that was a season with a much, much longer list of eligible actors for the category. Chitty was also not the kind of show in which it would really matter who played the parts. It was well-cast, but in the grand scheme, I can't imagine many people gave a damn who was in it. A lot of these sound sort of inconsequential, and they may not matter -- but, they may very well, too. This stuff rarely makes sense.

I know I'm probably making quite a few excuses, but I'm still hopeful. Maybe too much so in light of my bias, which I don't hide, but hopefully don't allow to go so far that my two cents are discounted. And being that so much of it IS political, obviously there's no real telling what will matter and what won't. It's totally premature to assume he's got it in the bag. I'll certainly live if the crapshoot falls differently, but I'd like to see him get what I think he deserves.

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Updated On: 11/19/06 at 12:28 PM