I could be proven wrong this year, but I think the "road vote" theory is proving to be moot. If it was a real thing, BEAUTIFUL would have won last year. Then again, A GENTLEMAN'S GUIDE... is far more chipper and colorful than FUN HOME is.
I think, however, if the Tony Awards want to continue to...scratch that...if they want to START BEING relevant, they need to recognize shows like FUN HOME, which as Kad said, taps into the social zeitgeist and makes an impact. The fact that it's just a f*cking good show helps too. Maybe the Wing and the League are starting to realize that no one gives a sh*t about shows like MEMPHIS, which made me tired when I read the synopsis.
In any event, who cares? It's apples and oranges. Artistic competitions are sort of fun, but very silly.