David10086 said: "ACL2006 said: "Maybe SUMMER will be the next MAMMA MIA? Poor reviews, but has a sold fan base and good word-of-mouth."
WICKED had the same fate - poor reviews, but an audience favorite. Now in it's 15th year."
That's a stretch. Wicked received mixed reviews, but there were raves among those. Summer received mostly brutal review. I am surprised that it is doing as well as i is, but I do not believe it will translate into a super-long run. Look how well Charlie... did early in its run at the Lunt-Fontanne; and Addams Family, and Neverland, and Motown. Seems to be a pattern with that theatre, only exception is that it never crossed my mind that Summer would start off so strong (not as strong, mind you, as every one of those other shows.
I am betting that its run will be more like Charlie than any of the others, and I don't actually think it will make it to year-end. Word of mouth will do it in.