kdogg, all of your concerns are valid.
A nonprofit subsidy program would be most welcomed as long as it doesn't come with censorship (as we're seeing from the federal government right now).
I'm a little doubtful the tax credit has much to do with the pace of announcements for this season, though. There are 12 shows announced to open between now and the end of the year, and four vacant Shubert playhouses which might get tenants for the fall.
Sometimes there are just pipeline issues too...some shows that have opened out of town or off-b but are either assessing next steps (rewrites, second out of town, etc) or raising money or deciding if they even want to come in.
There are also some that have been announced that I'm not convinced will actually make it to previews (such as Lost Boys, which has a huge theatre, novice producers, and IP with low value).
At the moment it's also unclear what will close by early 2026. There are a lot of shows on the bubble, financially speaking, which means they could either go up & keep running or go down & close. Mincemeat? Hadestown? HK? Moulin Rouge? & Juliet? Great Gatsby? Oh Mary (depending on star-casting)? Just In Time (depending on Groff's schedule)?
Updated On: 7/18/25 at 12:42 PM