I'd say "English" and "Prayer" are the 2 most likely from your list, but neither are especially likely. I do actually think English would play well in the Friedman. I still think it would be a tough sell, but at least it would be non-profit.
I could imagine a world where "Prayer" transfers and is marketed as the next big "epic event play" a la The Ferryman, The Inheritance, etc. The Ferryman ended up winning the Tony and recouping (on a small margin, I assume), but the Inheritance wold very poorly, and never had time to reap the benefits of its Best Play win (even without COVID, it would've closed before the Tonys). Prayer is perhaps cheaper to run than those 2 plays, but as VotePeron said, it doesn't have the same buzz.
It's so hard to predict these things, because in the past few years we've had some really random Off-Broadway transfers that we never would've been able to predict. So if you look at these 2 plays - they don't seem like they'll transfer, but weirder things have happened this season alone. We often say things like "that wouldn't sell well" but that hasn't stopped a LOT of shows from transferring anyway.
In that vein, I could also see a world where The Chinese Lady transfers.