The nominees for Best Musical will be:
The Wedding Singer
The Drowsy Chaperone
The Color Purple
Jersey Boys
with a very possible nod for Tarzan taking the place of either Wedding Singer or Chaperone.
From what I hear, Chaperone will most likely get mixed to positive reviews (a la DRS) unless it reworks a lot; TCP got mostly positive reviews; Jersey Boys got positive reviews; Tarzan's reviews are up in the air (Reviewers usually aren't partial to Disney shows to say the least but this ones supposed to be incredible), The Wedding Singer will get pretty positive reviews I predict, and everything else is obviously not even in the race to get a nod (Woman in White, Lestat, In My Life et al).
I think it will come down to Jersey Boys VS The Color Purple and I think TCP will take it simply because of its edge against Jersey; it has an original score. And a pretty damned good one at that.
Jersey will win Best Book and Best Actor.
TCP will win Musical, Featured Actress (Fields), Sets, Orchestrations, Lighting, and Choreography
Director will probably go to John Doyle for Sweeney as will Best Revival and Best Actress for LuPone.
These predictions, mind you, are as of now and will most definitely change when the other shows open.
I don't think Chaperone has much of a chance unless it will turn out to be a "Producers" (BIG hit, GREAT reviews etc) opposed to a "DRS" (mixed to positive reviews, well liked by audiences). Chaperone needs some kind of amazing push (ie great ticket sales or great reviews or great word of mouth) to win. Whether or not this will happen is yet to be seen.....
Updated On: 3/31/06 at 06:02 PM