Well, I highly doubt that THE WEDDING SINGER will be among the nominees for best musical.
And let's examine the new, eligible scores this season:
THE COLOR PURPLE - An overall enjoyable score with some great production numbers, but it is too scattered and unfocused - just like the entire production.
IN MY LIFE - nothing needs to be said.
THE WOMAN IN WHITE - Bland, bland, bland, but could garner one nomination here if the committe decides it's better than IN MY LIFE (which it is), LESTAT, TARZAN, etc.
THE WEDDING SINGER - Very enjoyable pop songs - not great lyrics. This will almost definitely get a nomination.
THE DROWSEY CHAPERONE - I know nothing about this show, so I cannot comment.
TARZAN - The original songs are great - and from what I've heard from various people, the new material is just okay.
LESTAT - I've only heard a few songs - terrible - but I'll reserve judgement until I see the show.
So, we have some nomination locks:
THE COLOR PURPLE
THE WEDDING SINGER
What's left for the next three slots? It won't be IN MY LIFE. I doubt it will be LESTAT, unless they swoon for Taupin, but Elton already has a tony and will probably score another next year with BILLY ELLIOT, so they'll pass on this one.
It will probably wind up being:
THE COLOR PURPLE
THE WEDDING SINGER
TARZAN
THE DROWSY CHAPERONE
THE WOMAN IN WHITE
(there are 5 nominees in this category, right)
IF there are four, THE WOMAN IN WHITE will be eliminated.
And who will win? Well, this could potentially turn into the worst score to ever win a Tony conversation again.
TARZAN has the edge, because of Phil Collins.
Question for you folks:
There are a bunch of new songs for the production (which not everyone has heard yet), but many will agree that his songs from the film were wonderful and charming. When voting, could it be that the committee will look at the score as a whole, looking at wonderful songs like "Two Worlds," "You'll Be in My Heart", etc. as fantastic, thereby going for a Collins win? Or will they vote for Collins because he's Phil Collins?
Let us not forget that TOMMY won best score, and most of that was NOT original.
Oh well, enough rambling. What do you think?
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy."
-Charlie Manson