The producers of Rent and Chicaco will make an agreement to close at the same number of performances. This will be either after surpassing Les Miserables or after surpassing Cats. The producers of Chicago will then cheat on the agreement and end their run with one more performance then Rent.
"Mamma Mia!" is another logo show, plus the word-of-mouth alone is what keeps it going and going and going. Once the film-version comes out (end of 2007), it'll be even BIGGER, so judging by it's worldwide appeal, it ain't-a goin' anywhere in the long future.
"A Chorus Line" will have it's descent run, but will close by Christmas 2007, "Grey Gardens" will have a shorter run -- it'll become the next "Caroline, or Change".
"Chicago" is also another logo show, and all that I mentioned above regarding "Mamma Mia!" applies here -- the film-version's success has pretty much guaranteed it's worldwide appeal.
I think wedding singer will close jan 1...def. agree with "Grey Gardens" being a "Caroline or Change"....I give "The Producers" till the end of the year also.
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I think that Chicago will have a long run because its film won Best Picture, while yes, Rent was made into a film, it just did not have the star power, or the prestige that Chicago did. I would not be suprised if rent closed before 2008
Beauty and the Beast- 5 years Phantom- Never Lion King- 15 years The Color Purple- 5-7 years RENT- 10 years Chicago- 10 years Tarzan- 3 years (wishful thinking) Producers- less than a year Wedding Singer- 6 months
WEDDING SINGER- end of the year, or first week of January GREY GARDENS- March or April of 2007...depends what kind of reaction it gets: if it becomes "popular" id say September 2007 RENT- 2 years A CHORUS LINE- 2 years THE COLOR PURPLE- 3-4 years THE DROWSY CHAPERONE- 1 1/2 or 2 years THE PRODUCERS- end of the year, or February or March of 2007