This time of year most new shows have excellent attendance for Tony consideration - so not very telling as to what might (or might not) happen in July.
And honestly, why worry: either it will happen or it won't. Not a thing you can do about it.
If we're not having fun, then why are we doing it?
These are DISCUSSION boards, not mutual admiration boards. Discussion only occurs when we are willing to hear what others are thinking, regardless of whether it is alignment to our own thoughts.