My long considered TONY PREDICTIONS for non tech awards; Fire away — Page 2

Bob, then there must be no god, because Murphy won't win. Did you SEE Ebersole's reviews? She got love letters from every critic, as did Mary Louise Wilson. They're locks.

I have not based my choices on reviews - I made my judgements on the performances I've seen. Also, as I said in my first post, my list is merely my personal opinion not a prediction of who will win. I think Ebersole was very good but not exceptional. And I still think Murphy's performance is the best I have seen anywhere in over 30 years of watching musical theatre.

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Updated On: 4/27/07 at 06:16 PM

"I don't think SA will win Best Musical. If the Musical nominations turn out the way you've predicted them, Curtains will win. I think it's the most tourable of the bunch."

Wow! If that sort of mindset dominated Broadway...well, we'd be in bad shape wouldn't we.

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""I don't think SA will win Best Musical. If the Musical nominations turn out the way you've predicted them, Curtains will win. I think it's the most tourable of the bunch."

Wow! If that sort of mindset dominated Broadway...well, we'd be in bad shape wouldn't we."

Ummmm...

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Well, in the scenario that Murphy or McDonald win, then Wilson would most likely take her category.

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""Company" while an interesting production lacks the charm, warmth and acting skills from the majority of the cast to make it even remotely enjoyable. Raul was just as cold as the ice cubes they were standing on."

I respect your opinion but I'm afraid I can't agree. COMPANY is one of my favorite shows and I think this production is a hugely enjoyable re-invention of a classic. And I found Raul Esparza's performance to be oustanding vocally and - acting-wise - he deftly brought out all the nuances in the humor of George Furth's book.

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As much as I love it and want it to win, it has the least chance of winning. It's just not a commercial show.

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I think SPRING AWAKENING will win for Best Musical, even though it is not doing as well commercially as most thought it would. Why? Because even some of the theater veterans on the voting panel will probably recognize that we should be inviting more people to something that will appeal to them, and get them (hopefully) interested in theater. They wouldn't have to apologize, either, since SA got the best reviews out of all the shows this season (not including LOVEMUSIK and LEGALLY BLONDE, although we'll see, won't we?)

I'm really, REALLY rooting for Raul Esparza to win Best Leading Actor. God knows he deserves it.

And yeah, COAST OF UTOPIA has too much going for it to not win Best Play (of course, wait until Tony night and I'll be proven wrong, if the voting committee has anything like the "Let's count how many surprise wins we've had so far" attitude of the Academy Awards... God, that was stupid...) It's pulled off the herculean task set by its creators, it has a fantastic and well-loved director that brought out the best in it, and... it's nine hours of Stoppard (as someone previously said).

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I doubt GG will be shut out. While most of the reviews centered around Christine and Mary Louise, the critics did say the show had improved much since it's run Off-Broadway.

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Husk- "Spring Awakening" has little chance of anything other than Supporting Actor.

Are you for real? What do you think is going to take Best Score?

Neddy-
I personally feel it will go to either "Curtains" or "Legally Blonde." Both of them are enjoyable, solid, and are much better IMHO than "Spring Awakening."

HOWEVER I have problems with "Spring Awakening" on all levels. The show hits a little too close to home for comfort in multiple areas, and on a whole it is not enjoyable to me.

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Besides being the critical favorite, I think that Spring Awakening will win based on the fact that its tour weighs heavily on its success at the Tony's. People want this show to do well and they want it to have a future, Tony voters included.

"This years two heaviest major awards contenders will be "Curtains" and "Legally Blonde." ... "Legally Blonde" is a suprisingly tight show, with fabulous direction/choreography, a solid score, and a good cast. "

I couldn't disagree more. in my opinion, SPRING AWAKENING and GREY GARDENS are the two strongest of the possible Best Musical contenders. Have you seen LEGALLY BLONDE? Surprisingly tight? I thought it was a mess (other than the enjoyable opening number). Solid score? Oh yeah, crap is solid.

The Tony doesn't always go to the show that will tour well. I know that people have said this before, but I think it's true. Did they think that PASSION would tour better than BEAUTY & THE BEAST? Did they think that AVENUE Q would tour better than WICKED with their adolescent girl market already guaranteed? Would CONTACT tour better than SWING!?

If Gavin Lee is nominated over Jonathan Groff, or if Karen Ziemba or Charlotte D'Amboise is nominated over Erin Davie, there's something wrong.

I know these may very well be pipe dreams, but again, in my opinion, Groff and Davie gave two of the best performances I've seen this year. The only person I'd be happy to see win over Erin Davie would be Mary Louise Wilson. I think they should both get noms, though.

I know, I know...

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