As of now, I'd say the nominees will be:
The Wedding Singer (expect positive reviews)
The Color Purple (expect positive reviews)
Jersey Boys (mostly positive reviews)
and the last slot is wide open. If The Drowsy Chaperone comes to NY with some tweaks and adjustments to what the critics from San Fran didn't particularly like, it may take the last place. In My Life will NOT be nominated for Best Musical. There is no way in hell. I will personally go to the Music Box and throw lemons through the windows if it
does get a nod, but it wont so I dont intend on buying lots of lemons anytime soon. Lestat seems like it will be recieving mixed to negative reviews (again this is just a guess) so being a public hit via word of mouth will be the main thing it will rely on to get a nod and a possible (POSSIBLE) win. The Woman in White may very well get a nod for a few reasons. 1) Its ALW's first big Broadway show in quite some time. 2) It's already a big box office hit. 3) The whole Maria Freidman thing could very well result in a sympathy nod (she will defnitely get nominated for what I hear is a terrific performance in WIW). As we know, it got mostly negative, some mixed, and one or two really strong positive reviews. So, like what I said for Lestat, the main thing it's relying on for a Tony nod is the audience.
I think Chita Rivera: The Dancers Life is deemed a "special theatrical event" for which it will most definitely get a nomination and a very possible win. Ring of Fire may very well get a nod as well. It seems like Walk the Line (the critically acclaimed Johnny Cash biopic) will be nominated for a slew of Oscars, very possibly winning some, which will draw attention to this show. I believe it got positive out of town reviews which doesnt hurt. A Tale of Two Cities. Hmm. Again, I think mixed reviews; so a nomination will depend on the audience's reaction. Im on the fence about this one, though. Mary Poppins will be a pretty big critical success if you ask me (London reviews were VERY positive) and audiences love Mary Poppins (although it could go two ways...the CHITTY way or the LION KING way....we'll see), so I think as of now, Poppins has the edge to take the final slot of the Best Musical nominees. And finally, Tarzan. Expect mixed reviews unless it's as visually arresting as Lion King. It should be a hit with audiences but critics...well, they're another animal all themselves.
So there you have it, even thought it wasn't asked for. WickedRocks' Tony predictions! Hahah I love how this thread wasn't even about this topic. :)
Updated On: 11/21/05 at 09:15 PM
.jpg?format=auto&width=300)
