Predict When These Shows Will Close

[BroadwayMan5]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:28pm

I know these threads pop up every once in awhile but I'd be interested to see when people predict the current open run shows will close. Here's the list, my predictions will be in the next post

Aladdin
Beautiful
The Book of Mormon
Cats
Chicago
The Color Purple
Hamilton
Jersey Boys
Kinky Boots
The Lion King
On Your Feet
Paramour
The Phantom of the Opera
School of Rock
Something Rotten
Waitress
Wicked

[BroadwayMan5]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:34pm

Here's my predictions:

Aladdin - 2028 (I'm predicting a slightly longer run than Beauty and the Beast)
Beautiful - 2020
The Book of Mormon - 2026
Cats - September 2017
Chicago - 2022 (I think it'll get to its 25th anniversary and close soon after)
The Color Purple - January 2018
Hamilton - 2030s... maybe longer
Jersey Boys - August 2018
Kinky Boots - September 2017
The Lion King - 2040s... or later...
On Your Feet - December 31, 2016
Paramour - December 2017 (or whenever Cirque decides to close it)
The Phantom of the Opera - 2030s... (I think it will see its 40th anniversary, maybe 50th)
School of Rock - September 2018
Something Rotten - December 31, 2016
Waitress - January 2018
Wicked - 2040s... or later...

[Harrisonmlewis]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:37pm

Kinky Boots and On Your Feet! will be the first of that list to close. I think January 1 or around there. I also think Something Rotten, Paramour, and perhaps Jersey Boys could close end of summer. After that I'm not sure, but I think the next wave would be Color Purple, Chicago, Cats, and Beautiful. 

[CarlosAlberto]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:39pm

Aaaaaah...the "I have way too much time on my hands" thread. There are about 10 of them per page. 

 

[CarlosAlberto]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:40pm

Aladdin - Have no clue. Don't care. 
Beautiful - Have no clue. Don't care
The Book of Mormon - Have no clue. Don't care
Cats - Have no clue. Don't care
Chicago - Have no clue. Don't care
The Color Purple - Have no clue. Don't care
Hamilton - Have no clue. Don't care
Jersey Boys - Have no clue. Don't care
Kinky Boots - Have no clue. Don't care
The Lion King - Have no clue. Don't care
On Your Feet - Have no clue. Don't care
Paramour - Have no clue. Don't care
The Phantom of the Opera - Have no clue. Don't care
School of Rock- Have no clue. Don't care
Something Rotten - Have no clue. Don't care
Waitress - Have no clue. Don't care
Wicked - Have no clue. Don't care

[dramamama611]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:40pm

Morbid?  These are all long term guesses.   The op only lists 2 shows closing this year.

 

Pointless, sure....but not morbid.  In fact, some of the ops guesses made me laugh.

[CarlosAlberto]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:40pm

Well that was...fun 

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:41pm

You should retitle this thread "The Total, Complete Speculation Thread."

[Dysquith13]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:42pm

It'll be fun to see how long Hamilton lasts.

Updated On: 8/2/16 at 03:42 PM

[BroadwayMan5]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:43pm

These threads have been posted before and it's interesting for me to read (example: https://forum.broadwayworld.com/readmessage.php?thread=1045207 - look at several predicting currently still open shows would be closed by now)

 

If you think it's morbid or not interesting, then don't read or comment. No one's forcing you!

[CarlosAlberto]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:45pm

BroadwayMan5 said: "These threads have been posted before and it's interesting for me to read (example: https://forum.broadwayworld.com/readmessage.php?thread=1045207 - look at several predicting currently still open shows would be closed by now)

 

If you think it's morbid or not interesting, then don't read or comment. No one's forcing you!

Yeah. it sucks to be bored with too much time on one's hands.

I need a hobby...like trying to predict when current Broadway shows are going to close.

That should be TONS of fun. 

 

[BroadwayMan5]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:46pm

CarlosAlberto said: "BroadwayMan5 said: "These threads have been posted before and it's interesting for me to read (example: https://forum.broadwayworld.com/readmessage.php?thread=1045207 - look at several predicting currently still open shows would be closed by now)

 

If you think it's morbid or not interesting, then don't read or comment. No one's forcing you!

Yeah. it sucks to be bored with too much time on one's hands.

I need a hobby...like trying to predict when current Broadway shows are going to close.

That should be TONS of fun. 

 

 

"

It took me all of 10 minutes to predict... it wasn't like I went in depth researching grosses. But ok. Thanks for your comment.

[CarlosAlberto]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:46pm

Hamilton - Won't be closing anytime in the near future. I predict it will go on to become the longest running musical in Broadway history. 

[Patti LuPone FANatic]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:47pm

 

[trpguyy]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:47pm

CarlosAlberto said: "Aladdin - Have no clue. Don't care. 
Beautiful - Have no clue. Don't care
The Book of Mormon - Have no clue. Don't care
Cats - Have no clue. Don't care
Chicago - Have no clue. Don't care
The Color Purple - Have no clue. Don't care
Hamilton - Have no clue. Don't care
Jersey Boys - Have no clue. Don't care
Kinky Boots - Have no clue. Don't care
The Lion King - Have no clue. Don't care
On Your Feet - Have no clue. Don't care
Paramour - Have no clue. Don't care
The Phantom of the Opera - Have no clue. Don't care
School of Rock- Have no clue. Don't care
Something Rotten - Have no clue. Don't care
Waitress - Have no clue. Don't care
Wicked - Have no clue. Don't care"

"Bored with too much time on one's hands?" As if this list just typed itself and hit "post?"

Updated On: 8/1/16 at 03:47 PM

[gypsy101]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:48pm

must we suffer through 30 more years of Phantom

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:48pm

BroadwayMan5, I totally understand where you're coming from! I think it's a fun conversation to have as well—but I think it makes most sense to have it regularly on the weekly grosses thread. This way we can actually have a remotely informed, educated dialogue as opposed to utter speculation (to predict when Wicked or Phantom will close remains today a complete crapshoot).

[IdinaBellFoster]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:49pm

To whoever said it would be hard for SCHOOL OF ROCK to find new kids: they've already been doing it. Many kids have left the production already.

[CarlosAlberto]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:49pm

trpguyy said: "CarlosAlberto said: "Aladdin - Have no clue. Don't care. 
Beautiful - Have no clue. Don't care
The Book of Mormon - Have no clue. Don't care
Cats - Have no clue. Don't care
Chicago - Have no clue. Don't care
The Color Purple - Have no clue. Don't care
Hamilton - Have no clue. Don't care
Jersey Boys - Have no clue. Don't care
Kinky Boots - Have no clue. Don't care
The Lion King - Have no clue. Don't care
On Your Feet - Have no clue. Don't care
Paramour - Have no clue. Don't care
The Phantom of the Opera - Have no clue. Don't care
School of Rock- Have no clue. Don't care
Something Rotten - Have no clue. Don't care
Waitress - Have no clue. Don't care
Wicked - Have no clue. Don't care"

"Bored with too much time on your hands?" As if this list just typed itself and hit "post?"

 

I know trpguyy. It truly sucks being so bored that it's come to that. But there it is. In black and white. For all of BWW to see.

What am I to do?

 

[trpguyy]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:50pm

gypsy101 said: "must we suffer through 30 more years of Phantom"

Yes. The current trend of forcing you to attend at least one performance a week will continue for 30 more years. 

[gypsy101]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:50pm

trpguy, I'm sure Carlos used copy and paste, that list probably took him about a minute to write.

[CarlosAlberto]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:51pm

gypsy101 said: "must we suffer through 30 more years of Phantom

 

Unfortunately yes. It's long run is made possible for theatergoers such as yourself to suffer. 

I know it's evil but it's necessary.

Updated On: 8/1/16 at 03:51 PM

[Harrisonmlewis]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:51pm

Agreed 100% on Phantom, gypsy101

[CarlosAlberto]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:52pm

gypsy101 said: "trpguy, I'm sure Carlos used copy and paste, that list probably took him about a minute to write.

 

Yes gypsy101, like Melania Trump CTRL+C, CTRL+V are my best friends....

 

[trpguyy]

Posted: 8/1/16 at 3:52pm

gypsy101 said: "trpguy, I'm sure Carlos used copy and paste, that list probably took him about a minute to write."

I'm familiar with the process. Just find it amusing that he continually complains about the thread and how it must be the product of nothing better to do, while contributing to it.