Riedel Tony Predictions

I don't think he's ever really been too great at predicting these, but its not a lock for Hadestown. I believe it will win in the end, but this is the closest we'll get to another Kinky vs Matilda battle. I think for that season Matilda just wasn't as good as some on this board mentioned, so Kinky won the hearts over for that one. I could see the same potentially happening here with Tootsie. I know that some out of town people would never have interest in Hadestown, since I'm from a family of casual theatergoers. They have zero interest in the show, so road voters may see that and really push for Tootsie. I haven't seen either, but Im going with a bunch of family to Tootsie, so I suspect long term the box office for that show will be a hit. Interesting race for best musical though, and Im glad we have one.

Im commenting on Riedel, he has Tootsie as the front runner which I find odd and don't agree with, but I also think that there is a competition there to be had for sure. Im really excited for the Tony's this year, truly great and worthy competition all around, so much better than last year.

Reidel doesnt seem all that far off to me, which makes me think I have no real idea of whats going on this season. The only limb he seems to be going out on is less love for Hadestown than we are imagining, which would give room for the Prom actors to sneak into the acting categories (I think only Leavel and Ashmankas will get nominated), and would give Tootsie or the Prom the win.

Call_me_jorge said: "The tony awards have rewarded the “underdog” show I feel like so often the past 5 or so years. Like When Fun Home won over AAIP or Gentlemen’s guide won over Beautiful and Aladdin and the even last year when the bands visit won over spongebob. I don’t think this year will be any different. Hadestown is winning."

But Hadestown is the front runner, not the underdog. If they were awarding the underdog this year it'd go to The Prom or Tootsie, not Hadestown. Tootsie got great reviews which I believe is providing Hadestwon competition, but I certainly wouldn't call it the underdog here.

Mike Barrett said: "Call_me_jorge said: "The tony awards have rewarded the “underdog” show I feel like so often the past 5 or so years. Like When Fun Home won over AAIP or Gentlemen’s guide won over Beautiful and Aladdin and the even last year when the bands visit won over spongebob. I don’t think this year will be any different. Hadestown is winning."

But Hadestown is the front runner, not the underdog. If they were awarding the underdog this year it'd go to The Prom or Tootsie, not Hadestown. Tootsie got great reviews which I believe is providing Hadestwon competition, but I certainly wouldn't call it the underdog here."

Mike, I think what Jorge is trying to say is as between a big budget movie-to-stage show like Tootsie versus a more art piece like Hadestown, the art piece often gets chosen at the Tony's. See last year with My Fairy Lady taking all the best revival awards leading up to the Tony's, and then OOTI taking the Tony. Same thing with Fun Home winning over the big and brassy An American in Paris and the incredibly well-written Something Rotten. So "underdog" probably isn't the best way to describe it, but perhaps the art show over the commercially-focused show?

"So "underdog" probably isn't the best way to describe it, but perhaps the art show over the commercially-focused show? "



Definitely. "Art shows" stroke the egos of those who rule the roost. Dogma darlings even more so. And when you're both at the same time, well, that deal is signed, sealed, and delivered.

No contest, really.